Goleadores del torneo · South Africa

Snapshot · 2026-06-23Model 1.0.0

South AfricaP(marca ≥1 gol)

Todos los jugadores del grupo de convocables actual de South Africa, ordenados por la probabilidad del modelo de que marquen al menos un gol en los partidos que dispute South Africa en el Mundial 2026. Ver /scorers/ para el top 50 global y /countries/rsa/ para la plantilla predicha y el XI probable.

65 jugadores en el grupo

Rank1Evidence MakgopaPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)12.2%
Rank2Oswin AppollisPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)12.2%
Rank3Thapelo MorenaPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)12.2%
Rank4Bongokuhle HlongwanePosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)10.4%
Rank5Lyle FosterPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)8.6%
Rank6Iqraam RaynersPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)8.3%
Rank7Elias MokwanaPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)7.5%
Rank8Mihlali MayambelaPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)6.8%
Rank9Mohau NkotaPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)6.8%
Rank10Relebohile MofokengPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)6.8%
Rank11Thapelo MasekoPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)6.8%
Rank12Tshepang MoremiPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)6.8%
Rank13Patrick MaswanganyiPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)5.3%
Rank14Kamogelo SebelebelePosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)4.2%
Rank15Yanela MbuthumaPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)3.8%
Rank16Ashley CupidoPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)3.4%
Rank17Keletso MakgalwaPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)3.4%
Rank18Puso DithejanePosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)3.4%
Rank19Shandre CampbellPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)3.4%
Rank20Teboho MokoenaPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.1%
Rank21Yaya SitholePosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.9%
Rank22Lebohang MaboePosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.7%
Rank23Bathusi AubaasPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%
Rank24Thalente MbathaPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.5%
Rank25Themba ZwanePosMFFormRisingTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%
Rank26Luke Le RouxPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%
Rank27Sipho MbulePosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank28Jayden AdamsPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank29Sinoxolo KwayibaPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank30Simphiwe SelepePosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank31Mduduzi ShabalalaPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank32Ndamulelo MaphangulePosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank33Brooklyn PoggenpoelPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank34Masindi NemtajelaPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank35Mthetheleli MthiyanePosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank36Siphesihle MkhizePosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank37Sphesihle MadunaPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank38Aubrey ModibaPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank39Nkosinathi SibisiPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank40Siyabonga NgezanaPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank41Mbekezeli MbokaziPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank42Nyiko MobbiePosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank43Ime OkonPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank44Khuliso MudauPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank45Khulumani NdamanePosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank46Samukele KabiniPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank47Fawaaz BasadienPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank48Malibongwe KhozaPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank49Deano van RooyenPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank50Thabang MatuludiPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank51Thabiso MonyanePosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank52Thabo MoloisanePosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank53Tylon SmithPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank54Zuko MdunyelwaPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank55Bradley CrossPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank56Fezile GcabaPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank57Keegan AllanPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank58Olwethu MakhanyaPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank59Vuyo LetlapaPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank60Brandon PetersenPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank61Darren JohnsonPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank62Renaldo LeanerPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank63Ricardo GossPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank64Ronwen WilliamsPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank65Sipho ChainePosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

Cómo se calcula. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.