Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Goleadores del torneo · Mexico

Snapshot · 2026-05-29Model 1.0.0

Mexico ★P(marca ≥1 gol)

Todos los jugadores del grupo de convocables actual de Mexico, ordenados por la probabilidad del modelo de que marquen al menos un gol en los partidos que dispute Mexico en el Mundial 2026. Ver /scorers/ para el top 50 global y /countries/mex/ para la plantilla predicha y el XI probable.

85 jugadores en el grupo

Rank1Raúl JiménezPKPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)36.2%
Rank2Santiago GiménezPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)18.5%
Rank3Hirving LozanoPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)12.8%
Rank4Alexis VegaPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)12.3%
Rank5César HuertaPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)11.4%
Rank6Julián QuiñonesPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)11.1%
Rank7Brian GutiérrezPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)8.6%
Rank8Germán BerteramePosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)8.2%
Rank9Armando GonzálezPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)8.1%
Rank10Guillermo MartínezPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)7.8%
Rank11Henry MartínPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)6.9%
Rank12Ángel SepúlvedaPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)6.5%
Rank13Stephano CarrilloPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)5.2%
Rank14Carlos RodríguezPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)3.3%
Rank15Orbelín PinedaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)2.3%
Rank16Roberto AlvaradoPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)2.2%
Rank17Edson ÁlvarezPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)2.1%
Rank18Érik LiraPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.9%
Rank19Luis RomoPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.9%
Rank20Diego LainezPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.7%
Rank21Luis ChávezPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.7%
Rank22Érick SánchezPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.7%
Rank23Ozziel HerreraPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%
Rank24Gilberto MoraPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%
Rank25Johan VásquezPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%
Rank26Alan CervantesPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%
Rank27Brian GutiérrezPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%
Rank28Obed VargasPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%
Rank29Alexis GutiérrezPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank30Jesús Ricardo AnguloPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank31Efraín ÁlvarezPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank32Álvaro FidalgoPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank33Denzell GarcíaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank34Kevin CastañedaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank35Jairo TorresPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank36Fidel AmbrízPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank37Jordán CarrilloPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank38Jorge RuvalcabaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank39Sebastián CórdovaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank40Alexéi DomínguezPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank41Amaury MoralesPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank42Elías MontielPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank43Hugo CamberosPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank44Iker FimbresPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank45Isaías ViolantePosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank46Jeremy MárquezPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank47Marcel RuizPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank48Jorge SánchezPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank49Jesús GallardoPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank50Kevin ÁlvarezPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank51Israel ReyesPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank52Gilberto SepúlvedaPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank53Mateo ChávezPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank54Víctor GuzmánPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank55Gerardo ArteagaPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank56Jesús Alberto AnguloPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank57Jesús OrozcoPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank58Julián AraujoPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank59Everardo LópezPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank60Richard LedezmaPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank61Salvador ReyesPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank62Ramón JuárezPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank63Alejandro GómezPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank64Bryan GonzálezPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank65Diego CampilloPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank66Eduardo ÁguilaPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank67Emilio LaraPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank68Jesús GarzaPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank69Juanjo PurataPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank70Alonso AcevesPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank71César MontesPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank72Diego BarbosaPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank73José CastilloPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank74Luis ReyPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank75Rodrigo HuescasPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank76Álex PadillaPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank77Andrés SánchezPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank78Carlos AcevedoPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank79Carlos MorenoPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank80Guillermo OchoaPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank81José Antonio RodríguezPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank82Luis MalagónPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank83Óscar GarcíaPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank84Raúl RangelPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank85Sebastián JuradoPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

Cómo se calcula. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.