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Match conditions
Stage:
Group H · Matchday 3
One side faces a key fitness concern ahead of this match, while the other reports a full complement of players. Unlock the full breakdown with a Pass.
Match-outcome probability
Cape Verde win
30.6%
Draw
30.1%
Saudi Arabia win
39.4%
Rank checkFIFA ranks Cape Verde#68 in the world; the model ranks them #35 in this tournament field, 33 places higher than the FIFA list suggests. All 48 compared →
That's the headline. The full forecast goes deeper.
The same Dixon-Coles fit behind the probabilities above also produces the breakdowns below — for this match and all 104.
Scoreline distribution
Half-time / full-time
Four models compared
Most likely scorers
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See exactly how Cape Verde v Saudi Arabia plays out
The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.