Pronóstico frente a resultado · Group D · Matchday 2

Paraguay vs Turkey

2026-06-19

El resumen se publica al pitido final. Cuando este partido termine, esta página mostrará cómo el pronóstico previo congelado se comportó frente al resultado real: Brier score, log loss y xG final frente a xG predicho. Hasta entonces, síguelo en vivo en el seguimiento en vivo.

Pre-match forecast

Paraguay win
31.7%
Draw
28.4%
Turkey win
39.9%
Paraguay
1.01
expected
goals
Turkey
1.08

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

Paraguay
9
Paraguay's Goalkeeper

Delivered an exceptional performance with multiple crucial saves, single-handedly preserving the clean sheet and the team's lead, especially after playing with ten men.

8
Player #23

Scored the decisive early goal with clinical finishing, which proved to be the match-winner.

2
Aldarete

Received an early red card for a dangerous challenge, severely disadvantaging his team for the majority of the match.

Turkey
6
Arda Güler0'–0'

Showed creative intent and good positioning in attack, but his efforts were consistently blocked without leading to a goal.

Match timeline

0'Turkey's player #8, Arda Güler, shows frustration after a missed opportunity.
6
Kökçü0'–0'

Demonstrated his ability from dead-ball situations by forcing a save from a dangerous free-kick.

1shots1on target

Match timeline

0'Paraguay's goalkeeper saves a free-kick from just outside the box by Turkey's #6, Kökçü.
0'Turkey's players, including #18 Mert Müldür and #6 Orkun Kökçü, show disappointment as they exit the field.
6
Yılmaz0'–0'

Actively involved in multiple attacking movements, creating chances for himself and others, but lacked the clinical finish or precise pass to convert.

2shots

Match timeline

0'Turkey's #11, Yılmaz, heads the ball wide from a cross.
0'Turkey's #11, Yılmaz, has a shot blocked.
0'Turkey's #11, Yılmaz, sets up #10 for a shot, which goes wide.
6
Demiral0'–0'

Provided a consistent aerial threat from set pieces and crosses, getting on the end of multiple opportunities, though without scoring.

3shots1on target

Match timeline

0'Turkey's #3, Demiral, heads the ball wide from a cross.
0'Paraguay's goalkeeper saves a header from Turkey's #3, Demiral, following a corner kick.
0'Turkey's #3, Demiral, heads the ball wide.
6
Mert Müldür0'–0'

No specific performance details were provided, but his visible disappointment reflected the team's overall sentiment.

Match timeline

0'Turkey's players, including #18 Mert Müldür and #6 Orkun Kökçü, show disappointment as they exit the field.

Match observations

  • Paraguay secured a narrow 1-0 victory over Turkey in a match that saw an early goal and a red card.
  • Paraguay's early strike allowed them to adopt a defensive posture, which they maintained effectively despite being reduced to ten men.
  • Turkey dominated possession and created numerous chances, particularly in the second half, but were unable to convert their opportunities.

Cómo leer esto. El Brier y el log-loss de un solo partido son ruidosos; lo que importa es cómo calibra el pronóstico a lo largo de muchos partidos. Este resumen por partido es una fila del marcador de calibración agregado en /docs/calibration/. La probabilidad previa al partido que se muestra aquí es la que se congeló antes del saque inicial; nunca se actualizó durante el juego.