Tahmin ve sonuç · Group D · Matchday 2

Paraguay - Turkey

2026-06-19

Özet maç sonunda yayımlanır. Bu maç bittiğinde, bu sayfa aşağıdaki dondurulmuş maç öncesi tahminin gerçekleşen sonuca karşı nasıl performans gösterdiğini gösterir: Brier score, log loss ve gerçekleşen xG ile tahmini xG. O zamana kadar maçı canlı takip edin: canlı takipçi.

Pre-match forecast

Paraguay win
31.7%
Draw
28.4%
Turkey win
39.9%
Paraguay
1.01
expected
goals
Turkey
1.08

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

Paraguay
9
Paraguay's Goalkeeper

Delivered an exceptional performance with multiple crucial saves, single-handedly preserving the clean sheet and the team's lead, especially after playing with ten men.

8
Player #23

Scored the decisive early goal with clinical finishing, which proved to be the match-winner.

2
Aldarete

Received an early red card for a dangerous challenge, severely disadvantaging his team for the majority of the match.

Turkey
6
Arda Güler0'–0'

Showed creative intent and good positioning in attack, but his efforts were consistently blocked without leading to a goal.

Match timeline

0'Turkey's player #8, Arda Güler, shows frustration after a missed opportunity.
6
Kökçü0'–0'

Demonstrated his ability from dead-ball situations by forcing a save from a dangerous free-kick.

1shots1on target

Match timeline

0'Paraguay's goalkeeper saves a free-kick from just outside the box by Turkey's #6, Kökçü.
0'Turkey's players, including #18 Mert Müldür and #6 Orkun Kökçü, show disappointment as they exit the field.
6
Yılmaz0'–0'

Actively involved in multiple attacking movements, creating chances for himself and others, but lacked the clinical finish or precise pass to convert.

2shots

Match timeline

0'Turkey's #11, Yılmaz, heads the ball wide from a cross.
0'Turkey's #11, Yılmaz, has a shot blocked.
0'Turkey's #11, Yılmaz, sets up #10 for a shot, which goes wide.
6
Demiral0'–0'

Provided a consistent aerial threat from set pieces and crosses, getting on the end of multiple opportunities, though without scoring.

3shots1on target

Match timeline

0'Turkey's #3, Demiral, heads the ball wide from a cross.
0'Paraguay's goalkeeper saves a header from Turkey's #3, Demiral, following a corner kick.
0'Turkey's #3, Demiral, heads the ball wide.
6
Mert Müldür0'–0'

No specific performance details were provided, but his visible disappointment reflected the team's overall sentiment.

Match timeline

0'Turkey's players, including #18 Mert Müldür and #6 Orkun Kökçü, show disappointment as they exit the field.

Match observations

  • Paraguay secured a narrow 1-0 victory over Turkey in a match that saw an early goal and a red card.
  • Paraguay's early strike allowed them to adopt a defensive posture, which they maintained effectively despite being reduced to ten men.
  • Turkey dominated possession and created numerous chances, particularly in the second half, but were unable to convert their opportunities.

Bu nasıl okunur. Tek bir maçın Brier ve log loss değerleri gürültülüdür; asıl önemli olan tahminin birçok maç boyunca nasıl kalibre olduğudur. Bu maç bazında özet, şu adresteki toplu kalibrasyon puan tablosunun bir satırıdır: /docs/calibration/. Burada gösterilen maç öncesi olasılık, başlama vuruşundan önce dondurulan olasılıktır; maç sırasında hiçbir zaman güncellenmemiştir.