Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Group G · Matchday 1

BelgiumvsEgypt

·12:00 local

Historial de enfrentamientos

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
18 Nov 2022FriendlyNKuwait City12L
6 Jun 2018FriendlyHBrussels30W
9 Feb 2005FriendlyACairo04L
30 Mar 1999FriendlyHLiège01L

Belgium vs Egypt, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from Belgium's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral).

Latest news & match context

Team news

No recent headlines for Belgium or Egypt.

Match conditions
Stage:
Group G · Matchday 1

Both sides are grappling with significant squad concerns, including key attacking players. Unlock the full breakdown with a Pass.

Match-outcome probability

  • Belgium win
    57.1%
  • Draw
    25.8%
  • Egypt win
    17.1%
Rank checkFIFA ranks Egypt #34 in the world; the model ranks them #24 in this tournament field, 10 places higher than the FIFA list suggests. All 48 compared →

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That's the headline. The full forecast goes deeper.

The same Dixon-Coles fit behind the probabilities above also produces the breakdowns below — for this match and all 104.

Scoreline distribution

Half-time / full-time

Four models compared

Most likely scorers

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See exactly how Belgium v Egypt plays out

The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.

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Cómo se calcula. Todos los resultados del proceso de goles comparten un único ajuste Dixon-Coles. Ver metodología.

Datos al 2026-05-28