预测如何生成
模型变更日志
产品和用户体验变更请参阅 /updates。本页仅记录模型重新训练和架构变更。
当前印在每个已发布概率上的版本号为 1.0.0。每一行均链接至其完整发布说明。
| 版本 | 日期 | 摘要 | 发布时 Brier | 笔记 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0.0当前 | 2026-05-24 | Initial published version. Calibrated ensemble of FIFA-Elo (Model 1), Dixon-Coles (Model 2), and hierarchical Bayesian Poisson (Model 3), with per-class isotonic calibration split across friendly / qualifier / tournament tiers. Per-player anytime-scorer (Model 5) on top of the Model 4 composite rating, with the Model 4b goalkeeper rating and the Model 18 starting-GK defence offset on the predict path. | — | Model 1.0.0 — initial published version → |