Artilheiros do torneio · Senegal

Snapshot · 2026-06-23Model 1.0.0

SenegalP(marca 1 ou mais gols)

Todos os jogadores no grupo de convocáveis de Senegal, ordenados pela probabilidade do modelo de que marquem pelo menos um gol nos jogos de Senegal na Copa do Mundo 2026. Veja /scorers/ para o top 50 global e /countries/sen/ para o elenco previsto e o provável XI.

42 jogadores no grupo

Rank1Bamba DiengPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)21.0%
Rank2Boulaye DiaPKPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)20.1%
Rank3Nicolas JacksonPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)19.7%
Rank4Sadio ManéPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)13.5%
Rank5Ismaïla SarrPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)11.3%
Rank6Idrissa GueyePosFWFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)10.2%
Rank7Abdallah SimaPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)7.8%
Rank8Habib DialloPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)6.7%
Rank9Cherif NdiayePosFWFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)6.6%
Rank10Ibrahim MbayePosFWFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)6.4%
Rank11Cheikh SabalyPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)6.3%
Rank12Iliman NdiayePosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)5.5%
Rank13Assane DiaoPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)5.4%
Rank14Mamadou DiakhonPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)4.3%
Rank15Ousmane SowPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)3.9%
Rank16Idrissa GueyePosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.8%
Rank17Pape GueyePosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.2%
Rank18Pathé CissPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%
Rank19Lamine CamaraPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.5%
Rank20Pape Matar SarrPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%
Rank21Habib DiarraPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%
Rank22Mamadou CamaraPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank23Rassoul NdiayePosMFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank24Ismail JakobsPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank25Bara Sapoko NdiayePosMFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank26Ousseynou NiangPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank27Kalidou KoulibalyPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank28Abdoulaye SeckPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank29Krépin DiattaPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank30Nampalys MendyPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank31Antoine MendyPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank32El Hadji Malick DioufPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank33Cheikh NiassePosMFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank34Mamadou SarrPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank35Ilay CamaraPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank36Nobel MendyPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank37Moustapha MbowPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank38Moussa NiakhatéPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank39Abdou DialloPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank40Édouard MendyPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank41Mory DiawPosGKFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank42Yehvann DioufPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

Como isso é calculado. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.