Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Artilheiros do torneio · Canada

Snapshot · 2026-05-29Model 1.0.0

Canada ★P(marca 1 ou mais gols)

Todos os jogadores no grupo de convocáveis de Canada, ordenados pela probabilidade do modelo de que marquem pelo menos um gol nos jogos de Canada na Copa do Mundo 2026. Veja /scorers/ para o top 50 global e /countries/can/ para o elenco previsto e o provável XI.

78 jogadores no grupo

Rank1Jonathan DavidPKPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)47.5%
Rank2Lucas CavalliniPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)20.2%
Rank3Cyle LarinPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)14.2%
Rank4Tani OluwaseyiPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)13.9%
Rank5Promise DavidPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)8.9%
Rank6Daniel JebbisonPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)8.5%
Rank7Theo BairPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)7.7%
Rank8Jacen Russell-RowePosFWFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)7.4%
Rank9Stephen AfrifaPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)6.6%
Rank10Charles-Andreas BrymPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)6.2%
Rank11Kwasi PokuPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)6.2%
Rank12Aribim PepplePosFWFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)5.9%
Rank13Deandre KerrPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)5.9%
Rank14Dieu-Merci MichelPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)5.9%
Rank15Gabriele BiancheriPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)5.9%
Rank16Kimani Stewart-BaynesPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)5.9%
Rank17Marius AiyeneroPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)5.9%
Rank18Santiago LópezPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)5.9%
Rank19Theo CorbeanuPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)5.9%
Rank20Tiago CoimbraPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)5.9%
Rank21Mark-Anthony KayePosMFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)3.7%
Rank22Jacob ShaffelburgPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)2.6%
Rank23Tajon BuchananPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)2.5%
Rank24Ismaël KonéPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)2.5%
Rank25Mathieu ChoinièrePosMFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)2.4%
Rank26Ali AhmedPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)2.3%
Rank27Stephen EustáquioPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)2.3%
Rank28Jonathan OsorioPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)2.2%
Rank29Junior HoilettPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)2.2%
Rank30Liam MillarPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)2.0%
Rank31Jayden NelsonPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)1.5%
Rank32Marcelo FloresPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank33Samuel PiettePosMFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank34Harry PatonPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank35Victor LoturiPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank36Jeevan BadwalPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank37Justin SmithPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank38Kosi ThompsonPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank39Malik HenryPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank40Nathan SalibaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank41Shola JimohPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank42Alistair JohnstonPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank43Alistair Johnston TRPPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank44Alphonso DaviesPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank45Moïse BombitoPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank46Derek CorneliusPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank47Scott KennedyPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank48Niko SigurPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank49Joel WatermanPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank50Kamal MillerPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank51Luc de FougerollesPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank52Zachary Brault-GuillardPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank53Raheem EdwardsPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank54Zorhan BassongPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank55Jamie Knight-LebelPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank56Sam AdekugbePosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank57Dominick ZatorPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank58Jahkeele Marshall-RuttyPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank59Kyle HiebertPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank60Alfie JonesPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank61Jovan IvanisevicPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank62Lazar StefanovicPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank63Luca PetrassoPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank64Matteo de BriennePosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank65Moïse Bombito TRPPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank66Noah AbatnehPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank67Ralph PrisoPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank68Richie LaryeaPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank69Zac McGrawPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank70Dayne St. ClairPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank71Grégoire ŚwiderskiPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank72James PantemisPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank73Jayden HibbertPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank74Jonathan SiroisPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank75Luka GavranPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank76Maxime CrépeauPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank77Owen GoodmanPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank78Tom McGillPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

Como isso é calculado. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.