Openbaar gemeten
13 Jun 2026
Elke kans hieronder werd voor de aftrap gepubliceerd en vastgelegd. Deze pagina beoordeelt elke kans aan de hand van wat er werkelijk is gebeurd.
Daggemiddelde: Within expectations
- BeoordeeldVastgelegd 10 Jun1 – 1
- Qatar4.8%
- Gelijkspel · gerealiseerd15.4%
- Switzerland79.7%
OordeelSurprise resultQatar 1–1 Switzerland was an outcome the model rated at 15.4% (15.4% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 1.353, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
Verslaat de marktenGaf meer kans aan het resultaat
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
Qatar8Mahmud AbunadaMade numerous crucial saves to keep his team in the game, despite conceding a penalty and receiving a yellow card.7Boualem KhoukhiScored a dramatic late equalizer but also received a yellow card.6Akram AfifHad an early shot on target but otherwise had no significant impact.Switzerland8Breel EmboloScored the opening goal from the penalty spot with composure.7Remo FreulerWon the penalty that led to his team's opening goal.7Ruben VargasWas fouled twice, leading to two yellow cards for an opponent, and had several shots. - 1 – 1
- Brazil53.8%
- Gelijkspel · gerealiseerd27.7%
- Morocco18.5%
OordeelWithin expectationsBrazil 1–1 Morocco was an outcome the model rated at 27.7% (27.7% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.847, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
Verslaat de marktenGaf meer kans aan het resultaat
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
Brazil8Ederson MoraesMade a vital save in the second half, ensuring his team maintained a clean sheet.7RaphinhaCreated an attacking opportunity with a shot on target that was saved by the opposing goalkeeper.6Neymar JrWas involved in several attacking movements but ultimately failed to convert any chances.Morocco8Yassine BounouMade a crucial save in the second half, contributing significantly to his team's clean sheet.6Amine AdliCame on as a substitute but had no notable impact on the match.6Abde EzzalzouliPlayed for a significant portion of the match without any specific notable contributions. - 0 – 1
- Haiti11.2%
- Gelijkspel20.2%
- Scotland · gerealiseerd68.6%
OordeelNailed itHaiti 0–1 Scotland was the outcome the model rated most likely (68.6% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.152, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
Verslaat de marktenGaf meer kans aan het resultaat
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
Haiti8Johny PlacideMade several crucial saves throughout the match, keeping Haiti in contention.6Louicius DeedsonWas involved in several attacking moves for Haiti but also received a yellow card for a foul.6Wilson IsidorHad a shot blocked and a header wide but did not make a significant impact before being substituted.Scotland8John McGinnScored Scotland's opening and only goal, demonstrating good attacking presence and finishing.7Scott McTominayCame very close to scoring with a shot that hit the post and showed attacking intent, despite receiving a yellow card.6Ché AdamsWas fouled twice by opponents, drawing yellow cards, but had no other notable contributions. - 2 – 0
- Australia · gerealiseerd30.6%
- Gelijkspel26.8%
- Turkey42.6%
OordeelWithin expectationsAustralia 2–0 Turkey was an outcome the model rated at 30.6% (30.6% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.734, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
Verslaat de marktenGaf meer kans aan het resultaat
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
Australia9Patrick BeachDelivered an outstanding performance in goal, making several crucial saves to maintain a clean sheet.8Nestory IrankundaScored the opening goal for Australia, demonstrating pace and determination.8Connor MetcalfeSecured Australia's second goal with a composed finish.Turkey7Abdülkerim BardakcıCame close to scoring for Türkiye, hitting the post with a powerful strike.6Kenan YıldızEntered as a substitute but had no specific notable actions.6Barış Alper YılmazPlayed for 45 minutes without any specific notable actions.
See how the forecast holds up
OnThePitch grades every probability against what actually happens, and publishes the calibration in the open. Subscribe to follow the retrospectives and research as they ship — one email per post, no marketing.
Already read on Substack? Follow OnThePitch there — same posts, slightly different format.