Previsão vs resultado · Round of 32 · Match 10

Belgium vs Senegal

2026-07-01

A retrospectiva é publicada ao apito final. Quando este jogo terminar, esta página mostrará como a previsão pré-jogo congelada abaixo se saiu contra o resultado realizado — Brier score, log loss e xG final vs xG previsto. Até lá, acompanhe ao vivo no acompanhamento ao vivo.

Pre-match forecast

Belgium win
57.6%
Draw
24.9%
Senegal win
17.4%
Belgium
1.43
expected
goals
Senegal
0.91

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

Belgium
8
Thibaut Courtois7'–87'

Made multiple critical saves, keeping Belgium in contention despite conceding two goals.

3saves

Match timeline

7'Belgium goalkeeper #1 makes a crucial save from a close-range shot by Senegal #18.
84'Belgium goalkeeper #1 makes a save from a shot inside the box.
87'Belgium goalkeeper #1 makes another save from a subsequent shot.
8
Romelu Lukaku61'–61'

Scored a crucial header that sparked Belgium's comeback from a two-goal deficit.

1goals

Match timeline

61'Belgium #9 scores with a header, initiating their comeback.
8
Dodi Lukébakio

Delivered a crucial and accurate cross for Belgium's first goal, initiating the comeback.

Senegal
8
Ismaïla Sarr

Scored Senegal's second goal with excellent pace and finishing, and created an early chance.

7
Habib Diallo

Scored the opening goal for Senegal with a well-placed finish.

7
Sadio Mané

Scored an impressive individual goal, showcasing his dribbling and finishing skills.

3
El Hadji Malick Diouf90'–90'

Was involved in the incident that led to the decisive penalty conceded by Senegal.

1fouls

Match timeline

90'El Hadji Malick Diouf involved in incident leading to Belgium's penalty.

Match observations

  • The match was a thrilling encounter, with Senegal initially taking a commanding two-goal lead.
  • Belgium displayed remarkable resilience, fighting back to equalize with two goals in the second half.
  • The game's outcome was ultimately decided by a late penalty awarded to Belgium.

Como ler isto. O Brier e o log-loss de um jogo isolado são ruidosos — o que importa é como a previsão se calibra ao longo de muitos jogos. Esta retrospectiva por jogo é uma linha do placar de calibração agregado em /docs/calibration/. A probabilidade pré-jogo mostrada aqui é a que foi congelada antes do início; ela nunca foi atualizada durante o jogo.