Tahmin ve sonuç · Round of 32 · Match 10

Belgium - Senegal

2026-07-01

Özet maç sonunda yayımlanır. Bu maç bittiğinde, bu sayfa aşağıdaki dondurulmuş maç öncesi tahminin gerçekleşen sonuca karşı nasıl performans gösterdiğini gösterir: Brier score, log loss ve gerçekleşen xG ile tahmini xG. O zamana kadar maçı canlı takip edin: canlı takipçi.

Pre-match forecast

Belgium win
57.6%
Draw
24.9%
Senegal win
17.4%
Belgium
1.43
expected
goals
Senegal
0.91

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

Belgium
8
Thibaut Courtois7'–87'

Made multiple critical saves, keeping Belgium in contention despite conceding two goals.

3saves

Match timeline

7'Belgium goalkeeper #1 makes a crucial save from a close-range shot by Senegal #18.
84'Belgium goalkeeper #1 makes a save from a shot inside the box.
87'Belgium goalkeeper #1 makes another save from a subsequent shot.
8
Romelu Lukaku61'–61'

Scored a crucial header that sparked Belgium's comeback from a two-goal deficit.

1goals

Match timeline

61'Belgium #9 scores with a header, initiating their comeback.
8
Dodi Lukébakio

Delivered a crucial and accurate cross for Belgium's first goal, initiating the comeback.

Senegal
8
Ismaïla Sarr

Scored Senegal's second goal with excellent pace and finishing, and created an early chance.

7
Habib Diallo

Scored the opening goal for Senegal with a well-placed finish.

7
Sadio Mané

Scored an impressive individual goal, showcasing his dribbling and finishing skills.

3
El Hadji Malick Diouf90'–90'

Was involved in the incident that led to the decisive penalty conceded by Senegal.

1fouls

Match timeline

90'El Hadji Malick Diouf involved in incident leading to Belgium's penalty.

Match observations

  • The match was a thrilling encounter, with Senegal initially taking a commanding two-goal lead.
  • Belgium displayed remarkable resilience, fighting back to equalize with two goals in the second half.
  • The game's outcome was ultimately decided by a late penalty awarded to Belgium.

Bu nasıl okunur. Tek bir maçın Brier ve log loss değerleri gürültülüdür; asıl önemli olan tahminin birçok maç boyunca nasıl kalibre olduğudur. Bu maç bazında özet, şu adresteki toplu kalibrasyon puan tablosunun bir satırıdır: /docs/calibration/. Burada gösterilen maç öncesi olasılık, başlama vuruşundan önce dondurulan olasılıktır; maç sırasında hiçbir zaman güncellenmemiştir.