Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Group F · Matchday 3

JapanvsSweden

·18:00 local

対戦成績の履歴

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
25 May 2002FriendlyHTokyo11D
13 Feb 1997King's CupNBangkok01L
22 Feb 1996Lunar New Year CupNSo Kon Po11(pens)L
10 Jun 1995FriendlyNNottingham22D

Japan vs Sweden, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from Japan's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral).

Latest news & match context

Team news

No recent headlines for Japan or Sweden.

Match conditions
Stage:
Group F · Matchday 3

Both sides face potential squad depth challenges with a handful of players listed as doubtful; unlock the full breakdown with a Pass.

Match-outcome probability

  • Japan win
    51.4%
  • Draw
    25.2%
  • Sweden win
    23.3%

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That's the headline. The full forecast goes deeper.

The same Dixon-Coles fit behind the probabilities above also produces the breakdowns below — for this match and all 104.

Scoreline distribution

Half-time / full-time

Four models compared

Most likely scorers

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The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.

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算出方法。 すべてのゴールプロセス出力は1つの Dixon-Coles フィットを共有しています。詳しくは 方法論.

スナップショット 2026-05-28