Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.
Group L · Matchday 1
GhanavsPanama
·19:00 local
Latest news & match context
Team news
No recent headlines for Ghana or Panama.
Match conditions
- Stage:
- Group L · Matchday 1
One side enters this match at full strength, while the other has a single squad concern to manage.
Match-outcome probability
- Ghana win26.3%
- Draw27.1%
- Panama win46.6%
Rank checkFIFA ranks Ghana #72 in the world; the model ranks them #42 in this tournament field, 30 places higher than the FIFA list suggests. All 48 compared →
Standard Pass
That's the headline. The full forecast goes deeper.
The same Dixon-Coles fit behind the probabilities above also produces the breakdowns below — for this match and all 104.
Scoreline distribution
Half-time / full-time
Four models compared
Most likely scorers
Standard Pass
See exactly how Ghana v Panama plays out
The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.
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