Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Group E · Matchday 2

GermanyvsIvory Coast

·16:00 local

Storico testa a testa

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
18 Nov 2009FriendlyHGelsenkirchen22D

Germany vs Ivory Coast, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from Germany's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral).

Latest news & match context

Team news

No recent headlines for Germany or Ivory Coast.

Match conditions
Stage:
Group E · Matchday 2

Both sides have a few players doubtful for this match; unlock the full breakdown of how these absences might impact the contest with a Pass.

Match-outcome probability

  • Germany win
    61.3%
  • Draw
    23.8%
  • Ivory Coast win
    14.9%
Rank checkFIFA ranks Ivory Coast #42 in the world; the model ranks them #30 in this tournament field, 12 places higher than the FIFA list suggests. All 48 compared →

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That's the headline. The full forecast goes deeper.

The same Dixon-Coles fit behind the probabilities above also produces the breakdowns below — for this match and all 104.

Scoreline distribution

Half-time / full-time

Four models compared

Most likely scorers

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See exactly how Germany v Ivory Coast plays out

The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.

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Come viene calcolato. Tutti gli output sul processo gol condividono un unico fit Dixon-Coles. Vedi metodologia.

Dati al 2026-05-28