Prévision vs résultat · Group G · Matchday 3

Belgium vs New Zealand

2026-06-26

Le récapitulatif sera publié au coup de sifflet final. Quand ce match sera terminé, cette page montrera comment la prévision pré-match figée ci-dessous s'est comparée au résultat réel : Brier score, log loss et xG final vs xG prédit. En attendant, suivez le match en direct sur le suivi en direct.

Pre-match forecast

Belgium win
83.1%
Draw
15.5%
New Zealand win
1.4%
Belgium
2.52
expected
goals
New Zealand
0.43

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

Belgium
9
Leandro Trossard

Trossard was clinical in front of goal, scoring two crucial goals that set Belgium on their way to victory.

9
Kevin De Bruyne

De Bruyne orchestrated Belgium's attack with a goal and a key assist, demonstrating his exceptional vision and passing.

9
Romelu Lukaku

Lukaku made an immediate and decisive impact, scoring two goals with clinical finishing to further extend Belgium's lead.

7
Thibaut Courtois

Courtois made vital saves and confidently handled aerial threats, contributing to Belgium's defensive solidity despite the scoreline.

6
Maxim De Cuyper

De Cuyper contributed to the attack with a strong shot on goal, showing offensive intent.

New Zealand
7
Elijah Just

Just provided New Zealand's only goal, showing good positioning to capitalize on a corner.

5
Chris Wood

Wood had a shot blocked, but otherwise struggled to make a significant impact in a difficult match for his team.

Match observations

  • The match began with early pressure from Belgium, almost resulting in a goal that was disallowed by goal-line technology.
  • Belgium quickly established dominance, scoring two goals through Trossard, showcasing their attacking prowess.
  • New Zealand managed to pull one goal back from a corner, but Belgium responded swiftly with two more goals from Lukaku.

Comment lire ces résultats. Le Brier score et le log loss d'un seul match sont bruités : ce qui compte, c'est la calibration de la prévision sur de nombreux matchs. Ce récapitulatif par match est une ligne du tableau de calibration global à /docs/calibration/. La probabilité pré-match affichée ici est celle figée avant le coup d'envoi ; elle n'a jamais été recalculée en cours de match.