预测与结果对照 · Group G · Matchday 3

Belgium vs New Zealand

2026-06-26

回顾将在全场结束后发布。 比赛结束后, 本页将展示下方锁定的赛前预测与实际结果的对比: Brier score、log loss, 以及最终 xG 与预测 xG。在此之前, 可在以下页面实时关注 实时追踪.

Pre-match forecast

Belgium win
83.1%
Draw
15.5%
New Zealand win
1.4%
Belgium
2.52
expected
goals
New Zealand
0.43

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

Belgium
9
Leandro Trossard

Trossard was clinical in front of goal, scoring two crucial goals that set Belgium on their way to victory.

9
Kevin De Bruyne

De Bruyne orchestrated Belgium's attack with a goal and a key assist, demonstrating his exceptional vision and passing.

9
Romelu Lukaku

Lukaku made an immediate and decisive impact, scoring two goals with clinical finishing to further extend Belgium's lead.

7
Thibaut Courtois

Courtois made vital saves and confidently handled aerial threats, contributing to Belgium's defensive solidity despite the scoreline.

6
Maxim De Cuyper

De Cuyper contributed to the attack with a strong shot on goal, showing offensive intent.

New Zealand
7
Elijah Just

Just provided New Zealand's only goal, showing good positioning to capitalize on a corner.

5
Chris Wood

Wood had a shot blocked, but otherwise struggled to make a significant impact in a difficult match for his team.

Match observations

  • The match began with early pressure from Belgium, almost resulting in a goal that was disallowed by goal-line technology.
  • Belgium quickly established dominance, scoring two goals through Trossard, showcasing their attacking prowess.
  • New Zealand managed to pull one goal back from a corner, but Belgium responded swiftly with two more goals from Lukaku.

如何阅读本页。 单场比赛的 Brier 和 log-loss 波动较大, 重要的是预测在多场比赛中的整体校准表现。本页是汇总校准计分板中的一行, 位于 /docs/calibration/. 此处显示的赛前概率是开球前锁定的, 比赛期间从未更新。