This is the plan we followed to build the prediction model from scratch — mapping the research landscape, building a baseline, and iterating. The pipeline is now live; this page explains the thinking that guided its development.
Behind the scenes
Our research roadmap
Résumé + extrait · document complet de 1,181 mots
Résumé
Extrait
Goals
- Build a defensible model of player quality and team strength in football.
- Translate those into match-outcome and event-level probabilities, published as research.
- Maintain rigorous calibration discipline so the published probabilities can be trusted.
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Our research roadmap fait 1,181 mots. Le Pass débloque ce document et chaque note de recherche en intégralité, plus les probabilités par match, la comparaison des quatre modèles et l'analyse tactique par match.
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