This is the plan we followed to build the prediction model from scratch — mapping the research landscape, building a baseline, and iterating. The pipeline is now live; this page explains the thinking that guided its development.
Behind the scenes
Our research roadmap
Samenvatting + fragment · volledig document is 1,181 woorden
Samenvatting
Fragment
Goals
- Build a defensible model of player quality and team strength in football.
- Translate those into match-outcome and event-level probabilities, published as research.
- Maintain rigorous calibration discipline so the published probabilities can be trusted.
Volledig document
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Our research roadmap telt 1,181 woorden. De Pass ontgrendelt dit document en elke onderzoeksnotitie in zijn geheel, plus waarschijnlijkheden per wedstrijd, de viermodellenvergelijking en tactische analyse per wedstrijd.
Every forecast graded against the real result, scored on 987 matches since 2014. See the scorecard.
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