Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.
Group I · Matchday 3
SenegalvsIraq
·15:00 local
Snapshot · 2026-05-28Plantilla de Senegal →Plantilla de Iraq →Seguimiento en vivo →Enfrentamiento directo →
Latest news & match context
Team news
No recent headlines for Senegal or Iraq.
Match conditions
- Stage:
- Group I · Matchday 3
Both sides enter this fixture with some fitness concerns among their squad members. Unlock the full breakdown with a Pass.
Match-outcome probability
- Senegal win59.8%
- Draw27.3%
- Iraq win13.0%
Standard Pass
That's the headline. The full forecast goes deeper.
The same Dixon-Coles fit behind the probabilities above also produces the breakdowns below — for this match and all 104.
Scoreline distribution
Half-time / full-time
Four models compared
Most likely scorers
Standard Pass
See exactly how Senegal v Iraq plays out
The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.
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