Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Group F · Matchday 3

NetherlandsvsTunisia

·18:00 local

Historial de enfrentamientos

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
11 Feb 2009FriendlyARadès11D
19 Jan 1994FriendlyATunis22D
5 Apr 1978FriendlyATunis40W

Netherlands vs Tunisia, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from Netherlands's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral).

Latest news & match context

Team news

No recent headlines for Netherlands or Tunisia.

Match conditions
Stage:
Group F · Matchday 3

Both sides face key availability concerns for this fixture; unlock the full breakdown with a Pass.

Match-outcome probability

  • Netherlands win
    61.3%
  • Draw
    25.4%
  • Tunisia win
    13.3%

Standard Pass

That's the headline. The full forecast goes deeper.

The same Dixon-Coles fit behind the probabilities above also produces the breakdowns below — for this match and all 104.

Scoreline distribution

Half-time / full-time

Four models compared

Most likely scorers

Standard Pass

See exactly how Netherlands v Tunisia plays out

The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.

Get the Pass — $15

24h self-service refund·No subscription, no auto-renewal·Access through 31 Dec 2026. See refund policy.

Cómo se calcula. Todos los resultados del proceso de goles comparten un único ajuste Dixon-Coles. Ver metodología.

Datos al 2026-05-28