Pronóstico frente a resultado · Group C · Matchday 3

Morocco vs Haiti

2026-06-24

El resumen se publica al pitido final. Cuando este partido termine, esta página mostrará cómo el pronóstico previo congelado se comportó frente al resultado real: Brier score, log loss y xG final frente a xG predicho. Hasta entonces, síguelo en vivo en el seguimiento en vivo.

Pre-match forecast

Morocco win
79.7%
Draw
18.1%
Haiti win
2.3%
Morocco
2.29
expected
goals
Haiti
0.43

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

Morocco
8
Achraf Hakimi19'–19'

Netted a crucial equalizer for Morocco and created danger with a well-taken free-kick.

2goals

Match timeline

19'Morocco equalises, as Hakimi (#2) converts an opportunity.
8
Sabiri0'–0'

Converted the decisive fifth penalty in the shootout, securing victory for Morocco under pressure.

2goals

Match timeline

0'Morocco player Sabiri scores the decisive fifth penalty, securing victory for Morocco.
Haiti
8
Joseph8'–8'

Scored Haiti's opening goal with a clinical finish, giving his team an early lead.

2goals

Match timeline

8'Haiti scores the opening goal, with Joseph (#16) finding the net.
6
Jean-Kévin Duverne

Was part of the defensive line under pressure during a Moroccan goal, but the team conceded.

Match timeline

6
Wilson Isidor

Showed forward intent by participating in an offensive move for Haiti without a direct goal contribution.

Match timeline

Match observations

  • The Netherlands opened the scoring, but Morocco responded with a powerful header to level the score.
  • The game proceeded to a penalty shootout after remaining deadlocked.
  • The shootout was tense, featuring several misses and saves, ultimately decided by Morocco's fifth successful attempt.

Cómo leer esto. El Brier y el log-loss de un solo partido son ruidosos; lo que importa es cómo calibra el pronóstico a lo largo de muchos partidos. Este resumen por partido es una fila del marcador de calibración agregado en /docs/calibration/. La probabilidad previa al partido que se muestra aquí es la que se congeló antes del saque inicial; nunca se actualizó durante el juego.