Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Turniertor-Wahrscheinlichkeiten · Cape Verde

Snapshot · 2026-05-29Model 1.0.0

Cape VerdeP(erzielt mindestens 1 Tor)

Alle Spieler im aktuellen Aufgebot von Cape Verde, sortiert nach der Modell-Wahrscheinlichkeit, dass sie mindestens ein Tor in den Spielen von Cape Verde bei der FIFA Fussball-WM 2026 erzielen. Siehe /scorers/ für die globale Top 50 und /countries/cpv/ für den prognostizierten Kader und die voraussichtliche Startelf.

54 Spieler im Aufgebot

Rank1Nuno da CostaPKPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)18.1%
Rank2BenchimolPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)14.3%
Rank3Dailon LivramentoPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)14.3%
Rank4Ryan MendesPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)14.3%
Rank5Willy SemedoPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)14.3%
Rank6Jovane CabralPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)14.2%
Rank7Hélio VarelaPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)13.4%
Rank8Garry RodriguesPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)11.0%
Rank9DukPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)7.1%
Rank10Heriberto TavaresPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)7.1%
Rank11Alessio da CruzPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)6.6%
Rank12Bryan TeixeiraPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)5.5%
Rank13Alvin FortesPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)5.1%
Rank14Rúben PinaPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)5.1%
Rank15Fabio DomingosPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)4.6%
Rank16Ieltsin CamõesPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)4.6%
Rank17Deroy DuartePosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)2.5%
Rank18Kevin PinaPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)2.5%
Rank19Telmo ArcanjoPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.9%
Rank20Laros DuartePosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%
Rank21Yannick SemedoPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%
Rank22Fabrício GarciaPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%
Rank23Aílson TavaresPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank24Elson MendesPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank25Jordan SemedoPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank26Stéphane CueniPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank27Ayoni SantosPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank28David CostaPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank29Ilano Silva TimasPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank30Jordan MendesPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank31Jamiro MonteiroPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank32Sidnei TavaresPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank33DineyPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank34João PauloPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank35PicoPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank36Wagner PinaPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank37Logan CostaPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank38Sidny Lopes CabralPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank39Steven MoreiraPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank40JójóPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank41Kristopher Da GracaPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank42Kelvin PiresPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank43StopiraPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank44Ricardo SantosPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank45David MoreiraPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank46Bruno AlmeidaPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank47Jorginho SoaresPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank48Rivaldo MoraisPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank49Yuran FernandesPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank50Bruno VarelaPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank51CJ dos SantosPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank52Henrique TavaresPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank53Márcio RosaPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank54VozinhaPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookKnockout3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

So wird das berechnet. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.