Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

United States vs Turkey

FIFA Fussball-WM 2026·Gruppe D·Direktvergleich

Snapshot · 2026-05-28Model 1.0.0

Model forecast

Standard Pass for probabilities

The model publishes calibrated win, draw and win probabilities for this group-stage meeting. Full forecast — expected goals, scoreline distribution, and per-player scoring →

Gesamtbilanz im Direktvergleich

Begegnungen
5
United States S-U-N
2-1-2
Letzte Begegnung
2025 : Niederlage (12)
Tore insgesamt
77
Höchster Sieg: United States
21 (2014)

Gesamtbilanz aus Sicht von United States. Zählt jedes A-Länderspiel (Freundschaftsspiele und Turniere) im martj42-Datensatz. Elfmeterschiessen entscheidet K.-o.-Unentschieden.

Every meeting

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
7 Jun 2025FriendlyHEast Hartford12L
1 Jun 2014FriendlyHHarrison21W
29 May 2010FriendlyHPhiladelphia21W
19 Jun 2003Confederations CupNSaint-Étienne12L
4 Sep 1991FriendlyAIstanbul11D

United States vs Turkey, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from United States's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral).

Recent form

United StatesLWLLW
  • 2026-06-06 · Germany12
  • 2026-05-31 · Senegal32
  • 2026-03-31 · Portugal02
  • 2026-03-28 · Belgium25
  • 2025-11-18 · Uruguay51
TurkeyWWWWD
  • 2026-06-06 · Venezuela21
  • 2026-06-01 · North Macedonia40
  • 2026-03-31 · Kosovo10
  • 2026-03-26 · Romania10
  • 2025-11-18 · Spain22

Five most recent senior internationals (any opponent), newest first, from the martj42 dataset.

Team style comparison

United StatesTurkey
#10 of 16Average match rating#16 of 54
#8 of 14Goals scored / match#14 of 53
#9 of 16Expected goals#20 of 54
#11 of 16Big chances#24 of 54
#5 of 16Shots on target#25 of 54
#12 of 16Possession#17 of 54
#13 of 16Passing#20 of 54
#8 of 16Goals conceded / match#28 of 54

Each bar is the team’s rank within its own competition — United States: Copa America 2024; Turkey: World Cup Qualification UEFA 2025/2026. A longer bar is a stronger standing; because the two competitions differ, only relative standing is comparable, not raw numbers. Style data via FotMob.

Häufig gefragt

What is the head-to-head record between United States and Turkey?
United States and Turkey have met 5 times. From United States's perspective the all-time record is 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses. Their most recent meeting was a 2025 loss (1–2) at the Friendly.
What does the model predict for United States vs Turkey?
OnThePitch's model makes Turkey the favourite in this matchup. The exact win, draw and win probabilities, expected goals and scorelines are part of the Standard Pass on the match page.
When do United States and Turkey play at the 2026 World Cup?
They meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group D. Venue and kick-off details appear on the match page once confirmed.

Weitere Begegnungen in Gruppe D

So wird das berechnet. Sieg-/Unentschieden-/Sieg-Wahrscheinlichkeiten stammen aus einem kalibrierten Dixon-Coles-Ensemble. Siehe Methodik.