Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

赛事进球预测 · Germany

Snapshot · 2026-05-29Model 1.0.0

Germany — P(进球 ≥1)

Germany 当前征召池中的每位球员, 按模型预测其在 2026 世界杯 Germany 所参加的比赛中至少进一球的概率排序。详见 /scorers/ 查看全球前50名, 以及 /countries/ger/ 查看预测大名单与首发 XI。

征召池中共 50 名球员

#PlayerFormTeam outlook

Rank1Niclas FüllkrugPKPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)28.6%

Rank2Leroy SanéPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)20.4%

Rank3Kai HavertzPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)18.2%

Rank4Nick WoltemadePosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)15.9%

Rank5Deniz UndavPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)15.6%

Rank6Jonathan BurkardtPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)13.0%

Rank7Maximilian BeierPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)12.4%

Rank8Said El MalaPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)5.2%

Rank9Karim AdeyemiPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)4.7%

Rank10Serge GnabryPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)4.5%

Rank11Leon GoretzkaPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)4.1%

Rank12Kevin SchadePosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)3.4%

Rank13Jamal MusialaPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)3.3%

Rank14Florian WirtzPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)2.5%

Rank15Joshua KimmichPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)2.4%

Rank16Chris FührichPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)2.4%

Rank17Pascal GroßPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)2.2%

Rank18Nadiem AmiriPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)2.0%

Rank19Paul NebelPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)2.0%

Rank20Jamie LewelingPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%

Rank21Robert AndrichPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%

Rank22Tom BischofPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%

Rank23Lennart KarlPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%

Rank24Robin GosensPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%

Rank25Angelo StillerPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%

Rank26Assan OuédraogoPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%

Rank27Anton StachPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%

Rank28Aleksandar PavlovićPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank29Felix NmechaPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank30Antonio RüdigerPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank31Waldemar AntonPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%

Rank32Nico SchlotterbeckPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%

Rank33Jonathan TahPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%

Rank34Maximilian MittelstädtPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%

Rank35Nathaniel BrownPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank36David RaumPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank37Robin KochPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank38Ridle BakuPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank39Josha VagnomanPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank40Yann Aurel BisseckPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank41Thilo KehrerPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank42Malick ThiawPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%

Rank43Nnamdi CollinsPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%

Rank44Alexander NübelPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank45Finn DahmenPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank46Jonas UrbigPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank47Manuel NeuerPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank48Marc-André ter StegenPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank49Noah AtuboluPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank50Oliver BaumannPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

▸How to read this table— 4 columns explained

Pos: Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form: Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook: Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1): Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.