公开检验
21 Jun 2026
下方每个概率都在开赛前发布并锁定。本页面将每个概率与实际结果进行对比评分。
当日均值： Within expectations
Belgium 0–0 Iran was an outcome the model rated at 24.8% (24.8% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.903, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
胜过市场对结果赋予了更高的概率
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
Belgium9Thibaut CourtoisGKHis numerous world-class saves were instrumental in keeping Belgium in the match and securing a point.8Romelu LukakuSTScored the vital equalizing goal, providing the attacking impetus Belgium needed to get back into the match.6Kevin De BruyneCMShowed moments of quality in attack but failed to convert a clear scoring opportunity.Iran8Mehdi TaremiSTScored a brilliant opening goal and was a constant threat, but missed a crucial late chance that could have secured the win.7Mahdi TorabiAMCreated a dangerous scoring opportunity by breaking through and hitting the post, almost giving Iran an early lead.7Mehdi GhayediLWCreated a significant scoring opportunity by chipping the goalkeeper, which required a brilliant save to deny him.Egypt 3–1 New Zealand was the outcome the model rated most likely (53.9% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.324, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
市场对结果赋予了更高的概率
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
Egypt9Omar MarmoushSTScored two crucial goals with clinical finishing, putting Egypt back in the lead twice.9Mohamed SalahRWDelivered a standout offensive display with a powerful long-range goal and a composed penalty conversion.New ZealandSpain 4–0 Saudi Arabia was the outcome the model rated most likely (85.4% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.037, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
市场对结果赋予了更高的概率
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
Spain7.5Ferran TorresSTContributed to Spain's dominant 4-0 victory, maintaining a strong collective performance throughout the match.7.5Mikel OyarzabalLWContributed to Spain's dominant 4-0 victory, maintaining a strong collective performance throughout the match.7.5Dani OlmoLWContributed to Spain's dominant 4-0 victory, maintaining a strong collective performance throughout the match.Saudi Arabia4Firas Al-BuraikanSTPart of a team that suffered a 4-0 defeat, struggling to contain the opposition and create offensive opportunities.4Salem Al-DawsariLWPart of a team that suffered a 4-0 defeat, struggling to contain the opposition and create offensive opportunities.4Mohamed KannoCMPart of a team that suffered a 4-0 defeat, struggling to contain the opposition and create offensive opportunities.Cape Verde 2–2 Uruguay was an outcome the model rated at 21.4% (21.4% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 1.151, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
市场对结果赋予了更高的概率
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
Cape Verde9Cabo Verde Player #13STScored two crucial goals, including a header and a composed chip, leading his team's comeback.Uruguay8Luis SuarezSTScored a spectacular opening goal with clinical finishing, providing a moment of individual brilliance.8Uruguay Player #9STScored a vital goal with good close control and a precise finish, briefly restoring his team's lead.
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