公开检验
22 Jun 2026
下方每个概率都在开赛前发布并锁定。本页面将每个概率与实际结果进行对比评分。
当日均值： Strong read
France 3–0 Iraq was the outcome the model rated most likely (79.3% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.073, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
France8Kylian MbappéSTConsistently threatened the opposition goal with numerous shots and dangerous dribbles, despite being repeatedly denied by the goalkeeper.8Rayan CherkiAMScored a crucial goal for France with a powerful shot, demonstrating quick feet and vision.7Ousmane DembéléRWActive on the right wing, consistently creating chances and forcing saves with his dribbling and shots.Iraq9Ahmed BasilGKWas a standout performer, making a remarkable string of excellent and crucial saves to keep his team in the match against relentless French attacks.8G. DoueRWScored a well-taken goal for the away team, showing composure in front of goal and initiating a comeback.8AhmadSTScored a powerful late goal, showcasing clinical finishing under pressure to complete the comeback.Senegal 2–3 Norway was the outcome the model rated most likely (39.8% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.546, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
Senegal8Aymen HusseinSTScored a crucial equalizer and showed good attacking presence throughout the match.8BounouGKMade numerous crucial saves to keep his team in the match despite conceding four goals.6Al-HammadiAMShowed attacking intent with a strong run but lacked clinical finishing on a key chance.Norway9Erling HaalandSTScored two clinical goals, showcasing his predatory instincts and leading the attack effectively.8Leo ØstigårdCBScored a goal from a set-piece, contributing significantly to the scoreline from defense.7Møller DæhliCMProvided a crucial assist for the opening goal, demonstrating good vision and passing.Argentina 2–0 Austria was the outcome the model rated most likely (64.5% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.198, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
Argentina6Lautaro MartínezSTContributed to the team's offensive shape with intelligent runs, though without direct goal involvement.Austria8Austrian GoalkeeperGKMade numerous crucial saves, including an early penalty, preventing a much larger defeat for Austria.Algeria 2–1 Jordan was the outcome the model rated most likely (59.3% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.249, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
Algeria9ZidaneGKHis exceptional goalkeeping performance was crucial in keeping Algeria in the match despite facing numerous shots.8BenrahmaLWScored the decisive winning goal with a moment of individual brilliance.8Algeria #12Scored a crucial equalizer for Algeria, showcasing excellent aerial ability.Jordan8Jordan #21Scored the crucial opening goal for Jordan, giving his team an early lead.6ReijndersCMScored a disallowed goal and contributed to attacks with shots, but couldn't make a legal impact on the scoreboard.6KluivertLWProduced a powerful shot that tested the goalkeeper, demonstrating his offensive capabilities.
See how the forecast holds up
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