Misurato in pubblico

21 Jun 2026

Ogni probabilità qui sotto è stata pubblicata prima del calcio d'inizio e bloccata. Questa pagina valuta ciascuna in base a ciò che è realmente accaduto.

4 di 4 partite valutate
1
Centrata in pieno
Alta fiducia, risultato giusto
1
Lettura forte
Ha dato più probabilità a ciò che è accaduto
1
Previsto
Il risultato rientrava nella gamma
1
Sorpresa
Il modello non se lo aspettava

Media del giorno: Within expectations

  • ValutataBloccata 10 Jun
    00
    • Belgium54.0%
    • Pareggio · realizzato24.8%
    • Iran21.2%
    Verdetto
    Within expectations

    Belgium 0–0 Iran was an outcome the model rated at 24.8% (24.8% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.903, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Batte i mercatiHa dato più probabilità al risultato

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Belgium
    9Thibaut CourtoisGKHis numerous world-class saves were instrumental in keeping Belgium in the match and securing a point.
    8Romelu LukakuSTScored the vital equalizing goal, providing the attacking impetus Belgium needed to get back into the match.
    6Kevin De BruyneCMShowed moments of quality in attack but failed to convert a clear scoring opportunity.
    Iran
    8Mehdi TaremiSTScored a brilliant opening goal and was a constant threat, but missed a crucial late chance that could have secured the win.
    7Mahdi TorabiAMCreated a dangerous scoring opportunity by breaking through and hitting the post, almost giving Iran an early lead.
    7Mehdi GhayediLWCreated a significant scoring opportunity by chipping the goalkeeper, which required a brilliant save to deny him.
  • ValutataBloccata 10 Jun
    31
    • Egypt · realizzato53.9%
    • Pareggio28.2%
    • New Zealand17.8%
    Verdetto
    Strong read

    Egypt 3–1 New Zealand was the outcome the model rated most likely (53.9% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.324, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    I mercati hanno dato più probabilità al risultato

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Egypt
    9Omar MarmoushSTScored two crucial goals with clinical finishing, putting Egypt back in the lead twice.
    9Mohamed SalahRWDelivered a standout offensive display with a powerful long-range goal and a composed penalty conversion.
    New Zealand
  • ValutataBloccata 10 Jun
    40
    • Spain · realizzato85.4%
    • Pareggio12.2%
    • Saudi Arabia2.4%
    Verdetto
    Nailed it

    Spain 4–0 Saudi Arabia was the outcome the model rated most likely (85.4% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.037, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    I mercati hanno dato più probabilità al risultato

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Spain
    7.5Ferran TorresSTContributed to Spain's dominant 4-0 victory, maintaining a strong collective performance throughout the match.
    7.5Mikel OyarzabalLWContributed to Spain's dominant 4-0 victory, maintaining a strong collective performance throughout the match.
    7.5Dani OlmoLWContributed to Spain's dominant 4-0 victory, maintaining a strong collective performance throughout the match.
    Saudi Arabia
    4Firas Al-BuraikanSTPart of a team that suffered a 4-0 defeat, struggling to contain the opposition and create offensive opportunities.
    4Salem Al-DawsariLWPart of a team that suffered a 4-0 defeat, struggling to contain the opposition and create offensive opportunities.
    4Mohamed KannoCMPart of a team that suffered a 4-0 defeat, struggling to contain the opposition and create offensive opportunities.
  • ValutataBloccata 10 Jun
    22
    • Cape Verde5.9%
    • Pareggio · realizzato21.4%
    • Uruguay72.8%
    Verdetto
    Surprise result

    Cape Verde 2–2 Uruguay was an outcome the model rated at 21.4% (21.4% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 1.151, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    I mercati hanno dato più probabilità al risultato

    Read: what the model missed →

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Cape Verde
    9Cabo Verde Player #13STScored two crucial goals, including a header and a composed chip, leading his team's comeback.
    Uruguay
    8Luis SuarezSTScored a spectacular opening goal with clinical finishing, providing a moment of individual brilliance.
    8Uruguay Player #9STScored a vital goal with good close control and a precise finish, briefly restoring his team's lead.

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Model report card — 21 Jun 2026 · onthepitch