Misurato in pubblico
21 Jun 2026
Ogni probabilità qui sotto è stata pubblicata prima del calcio d'inizio e bloccata. Questa pagina valuta ciascuna in base a ciò che è realmente accaduto.
Media del giorno: Within expectations
- 0 – 0
- Belgium54.0%
- Pareggio · realizzato24.8%
- Iran21.2%
VerdettoWithin expectationsBelgium 0–0 Iran was an outcome the model rated at 24.8% (24.8% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.903, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
Batte i mercatiHa dato più probabilità al risultato
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
Belgium9Thibaut CourtoisGKHis numerous world-class saves were instrumental in keeping Belgium in the match and securing a point.8Romelu LukakuSTScored the vital equalizing goal, providing the attacking impetus Belgium needed to get back into the match.6Kevin De BruyneCMShowed moments of quality in attack but failed to convert a clear scoring opportunity.Iran8Mehdi TaremiSTScored a brilliant opening goal and was a constant threat, but missed a crucial late chance that could have secured the win.7Mahdi TorabiAMCreated a dangerous scoring opportunity by breaking through and hitting the post, almost giving Iran an early lead.7Mehdi GhayediLWCreated a significant scoring opportunity by chipping the goalkeeper, which required a brilliant save to deny him. - ValutataBloccata 10 Jun3 – 1
- Egypt · realizzato53.9%
- Pareggio28.2%
- New Zealand17.8%
VerdettoStrong readEgypt 3–1 New Zealand was the outcome the model rated most likely (53.9% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.324, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
I mercati hanno dato più probabilità al risultato
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
Egypt9Omar MarmoushSTScored two crucial goals with clinical finishing, putting Egypt back in the lead twice.9Mohamed SalahRWDelivered a standout offensive display with a powerful long-range goal and a composed penalty conversion.New Zealand - ValutataBloccata 10 Jun4 – 0
- Spain · realizzato85.4%
- Pareggio12.2%
- Saudi Arabia2.4%
VerdettoNailed itSpain 4–0 Saudi Arabia was the outcome the model rated most likely (85.4% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.037, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
I mercati hanno dato più probabilità al risultato
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
Spain7.5Ferran TorresSTContributed to Spain's dominant 4-0 victory, maintaining a strong collective performance throughout the match.7.5Mikel OyarzabalLWContributed to Spain's dominant 4-0 victory, maintaining a strong collective performance throughout the match.7.5Dani OlmoLWContributed to Spain's dominant 4-0 victory, maintaining a strong collective performance throughout the match.Saudi Arabia4Firas Al-BuraikanSTPart of a team that suffered a 4-0 defeat, struggling to contain the opposition and create offensive opportunities.4Salem Al-DawsariLWPart of a team that suffered a 4-0 defeat, struggling to contain the opposition and create offensive opportunities.4Mohamed KannoCMPart of a team that suffered a 4-0 defeat, struggling to contain the opposition and create offensive opportunities. - ValutataBloccata 10 Jun2 – 2
- Cape Verde5.9%
- Pareggio · realizzato21.4%
- Uruguay72.8%
VerdettoSurprise resultCape Verde 2–2 Uruguay was an outcome the model rated at 21.4% (21.4% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 1.151, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
I mercati hanno dato più probabilità al risultato
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
Cape Verde9Cabo Verde Player #13STScored two crucial goals, including a header and a composed chip, leading his team's comeback.Uruguay8Luis SuarezSTScored a spectacular opening goal with clinical finishing, providing a moment of individual brilliance.8Uruguay Player #9STScored a vital goal with good close control and a precise finish, briefly restoring his team's lead.
See how the forecast holds up
OnThePitch grades every probability against what actually happens, and publishes the calibration in the open. Subscribe to follow the retrospectives and research as they ship — one email per post, no marketing.
Already read on Substack? Follow OnThePitch there — same posts, slightly different format.