Group B · Matchday 2
← 赛前预测Live score, descriptive in-match stats, and a post-match calibration recap appear here once the match kicks off.
Match-outcome probability
- Bosnia and Herzegovina win9.9%
- Draw21.8%
- Switzerland win68.3%
Analysis
The model rates Switzerland as clear favourites at 68.3%, with Bosnia and Herzegovina at 9.9% and the draw at 21.8%. The Elo gap is substantial at 295 points in Switzerland's favour, reflecting a clear strength differential in recent form. A Group B fixture with advance probabilities of 50.4% for Bosnia and Herzegovina and 97.3% for Switzerland.
Tactical matchup
Bosnia and Herzegovina (balanced) meet Switzerland (pragmatic) — contrasting tactical identities that should shape the contest.
Key battlegrounds
Switzerland adapt shape to the opponent — tactical flexibility gives them options but demands quick reads. The individual battle features Ermedin Demirović (P(scores) 6.6%) against Ricardo Rodriguez (7.0%) — their impact could prove decisive.
Situational factors
Switzerland's Murat Yakin (5.4 years in post) brings significantly more tenure than Sergej Barbarez (2.4 years) — squad cohesion and tactical familiarity may differ accordingly.
Match storyline
At 9.9%, a Bosnia and Herzegovina result would qualify as a genuine upset — the kind of group-stage surprise every World Cup produces.
Key numbers
Latest news & match context
No recent headlines for Bosnia and Herzegovina or Switzerland.
- Stage:
- Group B · Matchday 2
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Standard Pass
That's the headline. The full forecast goes deeper.
The same Dixon-Coles fit behind the probabilities above also produces the breakdowns below — for this match and all 104.
Scoreline distribution
Half-time / full-time
Four models compared
Most likely scorers
Standard Pass
See exactly how Bosnia and Herzegovina v Switzerland plays out
The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.
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