Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Group G · Matchday 1

IranvsNew Zealand

·18:00 local

Karşılıklı geçmiş

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
12 Oct 2003FriendlyHTehran30W
12 Aug 1973FriendlyAAuckland00D

Iran vs New Zealand, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from Iran's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral).

Latest news & match context

Team news

No recent headlines for Iran or New Zealand.

Match conditions
Stage:
Group G · Matchday 1

One side faces a couple of fitness concerns for this match, including a key attacker, while the other is at full strength. Unlock the full breakdown with a Pass.

Match-outcome probability

  • Iran win
    57.2%
  • Draw
    25.9%
  • New Zealand win
    17.0%
Rank checkFIFA ranks New Zealand #86 in the world; the model ranks them #36 in this tournament field, 50 places higher than the FIFA list suggests. All 48 compared →

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That's the headline. The full forecast goes deeper.

The same Dixon-Coles fit behind the probabilities above also produces the breakdowns below — for this match and all 104.

Scoreline distribution

Half-time / full-time

Four models compared

Most likely scorers

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See exactly how Iran v New Zealand plays out

The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.

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Bu nasıl hesaplanır. Tüm gol süreci çıktıları tek bir Dixon-Coles uyumundan gelir. Bkz. yöntem.

Anlık görüntü: 2026-05-28