Previsão vs resultado · Group D · Matchday 2

United States vs Australia

2026-06-19

A retrospectiva é publicada ao apito final. Quando este jogo terminar, esta página mostrará como a previsão pré-jogo congelada abaixo se saiu contra o resultado realizado — Brier score, log loss e xG final vs xG previsto. Até lá, acompanhe ao vivo no acompanhamento ao vivo.

Pre-match forecast

United States win
31.9%
Draw
29.6%
Australia win
38.5%
United States
0.97
expected
goals
Australia
1.02

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

United States
9
Matt Turner

Made multiple crucial saves, especially in the second half, to secure the clean sheet and the team's victory.

8
Dest

Scored a crucial goal that doubled the USA's lead and contributed to offensive pressure.

7
Balogun

Created a good scoring opportunity through a strong run and shot, demonstrating his direct attacking style.

Australia
7
Leckie

Provided a quality cross that contributed to Australia's attacking build-up from a wide position.

6
Luque

Showed offensive ambition by attempting a shot, but it was blocked and didn't lead to a significant chance.

6
Metcalfe

Contributed to Australia's attacking build-up by delivering a cross into the box.

3
Cameron Burgess

His own goal directly put his team at a disadvantage early in the match.

Match observations

  • The match saw the United States secure a 2-0 victory over Australia in a competitive encounter.
  • The USA took an early lead through an unfortunate own goal, which was then extended by a second goal confirmed after a VAR review.
  • Australia created numerous attacking opportunities, particularly in the second half, but were unable to convert them into goals.

Como ler isto. O Brier e o log-loss de um jogo isolado são ruidosos — o que importa é como a previsão se calibra ao longo de muitos jogos. Esta retrospectiva por jogo é uma linha do placar de calibração agregado em /docs/calibration/. A probabilidade pré-jogo mostrada aqui é a que foi congelada antes do início; ela nunca foi atualizada durante o jogo.