Tahmin ve sonuç · Group D · Matchday 2

United States - Australia

2026-06-19

Özet maç sonunda yayımlanır. Bu maç bittiğinde, bu sayfa aşağıdaki dondurulmuş maç öncesi tahminin gerçekleşen sonuca karşı nasıl performans gösterdiğini gösterir: Brier score, log loss ve gerçekleşen xG ile tahmini xG. O zamana kadar maçı canlı takip edin: canlı takipçi.

Pre-match forecast

United States win
31.9%
Draw
29.6%
Australia win
38.5%
United States
0.97
expected
goals
Australia
1.02

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

United States
9
Matt Turner

Made multiple crucial saves, especially in the second half, to secure the clean sheet and the team's victory.

8
Dest

Scored a crucial goal that doubled the USA's lead and contributed to offensive pressure.

7
Balogun

Created a good scoring opportunity through a strong run and shot, demonstrating his direct attacking style.

Australia
7
Leckie

Provided a quality cross that contributed to Australia's attacking build-up from a wide position.

6
Luque

Showed offensive ambition by attempting a shot, but it was blocked and didn't lead to a significant chance.

6
Metcalfe

Contributed to Australia's attacking build-up by delivering a cross into the box.

3
Cameron Burgess

His own goal directly put his team at a disadvantage early in the match.

Match observations

  • The match saw the United States secure a 2-0 victory over Australia in a competitive encounter.
  • The USA took an early lead through an unfortunate own goal, which was then extended by a second goal confirmed after a VAR review.
  • Australia created numerous attacking opportunities, particularly in the second half, but were unable to convert them into goals.

Bu nasıl okunur. Tek bir maçın Brier ve log loss değerleri gürültülüdür; asıl önemli olan tahminin birçok maç boyunca nasıl kalibre olduğudur. Bu maç bazında özet, şu adresteki toplu kalibrasyon puan tablosunun bir satırıdır: /docs/calibration/. Burada gösterilen maç öncesi olasılık, başlama vuruşundan önce dondurulan olasılıktır; maç sırasında hiçbir zaman güncellenmemiştir.