Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

United States vs Australia

WK 2026·Groep D·Onderlinge confrontatie

Snapshot · 2026-05-28Model 1.0.0

Model forecast

Standard Pass for probabilities

The model publishes calibrated win, draw and win probabilities for this group-stage meeting. Full forecast — expected goals, scoreline distribution, and per-player scoring →

Onderlinge historie

Ontmoetingen
4
United States W-G-V
2-1-1
Laatste ontmoeting
2025 : Winst (21)
Totaal aantal doelpunten
53
Grootste overwinning van United States
31 (2010)

Historisch overzicht vanuit het perspectief van United States. Telt elke interlandontmoeting (vriendschappelijk en toernooien) in de martj42-dataset; strafschoppenseries beslissen gelijke knockoutwedstrijden.

Every meeting

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
14 Oct 2025FriendlyHDenver21W
5 Jun 2010FriendlyNRoodepoort31W
6 Nov 1998FriendlyHSan Jose00D
13 Jun 1992FriendlyHOrlando01L

United States vs Australia, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from United States's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral).

Recent form

United StatesLWLLW
  • 2026-06-06 · Germany12
  • 2026-05-31 · Senegal32
  • 2026-03-31 · Portugal02
  • 2026-03-28 · Belgium25
  • 2025-11-18 · Uruguay51
AustraliaDLWWL
  • 2026-06-06 · Switzerland11
  • 2026-05-30 · Mexico01
  • 2026-03-31 · Curaçao51
  • 2026-03-27 · Cameroon10
  • 2025-11-18 · Colombia03

Five most recent senior internationals (any opponent), newest first, from the martj42 dataset.

Team style comparison

United StatesAustralia
#10 of 16Average match rating#6 of 18
#8 of 14Goals scored / match#3 of 18
#11 of 16Big chances#2 of 27
#5 of 16Shots on target#6 of 18
#12 of 16Possession#9 of 18
#13 of 16Passing#4 of 18
#8 of 16Goals conceded / match#2 of 18

Each bar is the team’s rank within its own competition — United States: Copa America 2024; Australia: World Cup Qualification AFC 2023/2025. A longer bar is a stronger standing; because the two competitions differ, only relative standing is comparable, not raw numbers. Style data via FotMob.

Veelgestelde vragen

What is the head-to-head record between United States and Australia?
United States and Australia have met 4 times. From United States's perspective the all-time record is 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss. Their most recent meeting was a 2025 win (2–1) at the Friendly.
What does the model predict for United States vs Australia?
OnThePitch's model makes Australia the favourite in this matchup. The exact win, draw and win probabilities, expected goals and scorelines are part of the Standard Pass on the match page.
When do United States and Australia play at the 2026 World Cup?
They meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group D. Venue and kick-off details appear on the match page once confirmed.

Andere confrontaties in Groep D

Hoe dit wordt berekend. Win/gelijkspel/win-waarschijnlijkheden komen uit een gekalibreerd Dixon-Coles-ensemble. Zie methodologie.