Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

United States vs Australia

2026 FIFA 世界杯·D 组·历史交锋

Snapshot · 2026-05-28Model 1.0.0

Model forecast

Draw
28.1%

The model's win, draw and win probabilities for this group-stage meeting. Full forecast — expected goals, scoreline distribution, and per-player scoring →

历史交锋总览

交锋场次
4
United States 胜-平-负
2-1-1
最近一次交锋
2025 : (21)
历史总进球
53
United States 最大胜利
31 (2010)

数据以 United States 视角呈现的历史战绩。统计 martj42 数据集中所有成年国际队交锋(友谊赛和正式赛事); 点球大战结果用于决定淘汰赛平局。

Every meeting

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
14 Oct 2025FriendlyHDenver21W
5 Jun 2010FriendlyNRoodepoort31W
6 Nov 1998FriendlyHSan Jose00D
13 Jun 1992FriendlyHOrlando01L

United States vs Australia, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from United States's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral).

Recent form

United StatesLWLLW
  • 2026-06-06 · Germany12
  • 2026-05-31 · Senegal32
  • 2026-03-31 · Portugal02
  • 2026-03-28 · Belgium25
  • 2025-11-18 · Uruguay51
AustraliaDLWWL
  • 2026-06-06 · Switzerland11
  • 2026-05-30 · Mexico01
  • 2026-03-31 · Curaçao51
  • 2026-03-27 · Cameroon10
  • 2025-11-18 · Colombia03

Five most recent senior internationals (any opponent), newest first, from the martj42 dataset.

Team style comparison

United StatesAustralia
#10 of 16Average match rating#6 of 18
#8 of 14Goals scored / match#3 of 18
#11 of 16Big chances#2 of 27
#5 of 16Shots on target#6 of 18
#12 of 16Possession#9 of 18
#13 of 16Passing#4 of 18
#8 of 16Goals conceded / match#2 of 18

Each bar is the team’s rank within its own competition — United States: Copa America 2024; Australia: World Cup Qualification AFC 2023/2025. A longer bar is a stronger standing; because the two competitions differ, only relative standing is comparable, not raw numbers. Style data via FotMob.

常见问题

What is the head-to-head record between United States and Australia?
United States and Australia have met 4 times. From United States's perspective the all-time record is 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss. Their most recent meeting was a 2025 win (2–1) at the Friendly.
What does the model predict for United States vs Australia?
OnThePitch's model rates United States at 31% to win, with a 28% chance of a draw and 41% for Australia.
When do United States and Australia play at the 2026 World Cup?
They meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group D. Venue and kick-off details appear on the match page once confirmed.

D 组其他对阵

计算方法。 胜/平/胜概率来自经过校准的 Dixon-Coles 集成模型。详见 方法论.