公開の場で検証

25 Jun 2026

以下のすべての確率はキックオフ前に公開され、確定されました。このページでは、それぞれを実際の結果と照らし合わせて採点します。

6試合中6試合を採点済み
2
的中
高い確信、正しい結果
1
鋭い読み
起こった結果に最も高い確率を与えた
3
想定内
結果は予想の範囲内だった
0
予想外
モデルはこの結果を予測できなかった

日別平均: Within expectations

  • 採点済み10 Junに確定
    23
    • United States26.7%
    • 引き分け25.5%
    • Turkey · 実現47.8%
    判定
    Strong read

    United States 2–3 Turkey was the outcome the model rated most likely (47.8% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.408, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    United States
    8Folarin BalogunSTScored the crucial opening goal and showed good attacking instincts, despite an earlier disallowed goal.
    8Timothy WeahSTScored an early goal from a scramble, demonstrating quick reactions and opportunism.
    7Christian PulisicAMShowed flashes of brilliance with a powerful shot on target and a creative backheel pass that initiated an attack.
    Turkey
    7BIH GoalkeeperGKMade multiple crucial saves throughout the match, demonstrating excellent shot-stopping ability under continuous pressure.
    6MimicCMRegistered one of his team's few attempts on goal, showing some offensive initiative for a struggling side.
    6BIH Player #8Showed good attacking initiative by scoring after a run, though the goal was not reflected in the final match score.
  • 採点済み10 Junに確定
    00
    • Paraguay36.1%
    • 引き分け · 実現30.8%
    • Australia33.2%
    判定
    Within expectations

    Paraguay 0–0 Australia was an outcome the model rated at 30.8% (30.8% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.719, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Paraguay
    8Matías GalarzaCMScored the opening goal for Paraguay from a corner kick, providing a crucial lead.
    8CanaleSTConverted the decisive penalty kick to secure Paraguay's victory in the shootout.
    8Miguel AlmirónRWDelivered the crucial corner kick that directly resulted in Paraguay's first goal.
    Australia
    8GillGKMade several critical saves in extra time, keeping his team in the match and preventing further goals.
    8HillGKMade several crucial saves throughout the match, maintaining his team's competitive position.
    7Jordan BosLWDemonstrated attacking intent with a shot on target and drew a foul in a dangerous area.
  • 採点済み10 Junに確定
    12
    • Germany42.4%
    • 引き分け26.7%
    • Ecuador · 実現30.9%
    判定
    Within expectations

    Germany 1–2 Ecuador was an outcome the model rated at 30.9% (30.9% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.728, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Germany
    8WirtzAMScored Germany's opening goal with a clinical finish, showcasing excellent positioning and attacking prowess.
    8RodriguezRWScored the decisive winning goal from a corner kick, proving to be a match-winner for Ecuador.
    8Ecuador GKGKMade multiple crucial saves, particularly from headers and a late shot, to secure Ecuador's victory and maintain their lead.
    Ecuador
    9AnguloSTScored a brilliant equalizer with individual skill and was a constant offensive threat, testing the German goalkeeper multiple times.
    8ViteCMDelivered the corner kick that directly led to Ecuador's winning goal, showcasing his excellent set-piece delivery.
    6ValenciaSTContributed to Ecuador's attack with a shot on target that tested the German goalkeeper.
  • 採点済み10 Junに確定
    02
    • Curaçao8.3%
    • 引き分け20.2%
    • Ivory Coast · 実現71.5%
    判定
    Nailed it

    Curaçao 0–2 Ivory Coast was the outcome the model rated most likely (71.5% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.129, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Curaçao
    6Leandro BacunaCMContributed to the attack with a shot on goal, but had limited overall decisive impact.
    5Tahith ChongAMShowed attacking intent with multiple shots but was unable to convert his opportunities.
    Ivory Coast
    9Nicolas PepeRWScored both goals for Ivory Coast, demonstrating clinical finishing and a strong attacking presence.
    8Yahia FofanaGKMade crucial saves to maintain a clean sheet and secure the win for Ivory Coast.
    8Amad DialloAMScored a crucial goal shortly after coming on as a substitute, proving to be the match-winner.
  • 採点済み10 Junに確定
    31
    • Netherlands · 実現65.7%
    • 引き分け23.9%
    • Tunisia10.4%
    判定
    Nailed it

    Netherlands 3–1 Tunisia was the outcome the model rated most likely (65.7% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.186, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Netherlands
    Tunisia
    8Daichi KamadaAMScored the crucial opening goal, demonstrating excellent predatory instincts and composure.
    8DahmenGKMade multiple outstanding saves, including a critical goal-line stop, preventing an even heavier defeat for Tunisia.
    8Ritsu DoanRWScored a powerful and well-placed second goal, showcasing his strong shooting ability.
  • 採点済み10 Junに確定
    11
    • Japan50.6%
    • 引き分け · 実現25.6%
    • Sweden23.8%
    判定
    Within expectations

    Japan 1–1 Sweden was an outcome the model rated at 25.6% (25.6% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.866, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Japan
    8Daizen MaedaSTScored Japan's crucial opening goal with excellent composure and finishing ability.
    6Ao TanakaCMPositioned himself well for a shot but failed to hit the target, indicating a missed opportunity.
    Sweden
    6Benjamin NygrenMade a late appearance without any described impact on the match.

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Model report card — 25 Jun 2026 · onthepitch