Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.
Group K · Matchday 3
PortugalvsColombia
·19:00 local
Latest news & match context
Team news
- The Cristiano Ronaldo problem standing between Portugal and World Cup breakthrough · The Independent — Football · 11 Jun
Match conditions
- Stage:
- Group K · Matchday 3
Both sides contend with a handful of squad concerns ahead of this fixture; unlock the full breakdown with a Pass.
Match-outcome probability
- Portugal win38.8%
- Draw27.0%
- Colombia win34.2%
Standard Pass
That's the headline. The full forecast goes deeper.
The same Dixon-Coles fit behind the probabilities above also produces the breakdowns below — for this match and all 104.
Scoreline distribution
Half-time / full-time
Four models compared
Most likely scorers
Standard Pass
See exactly how Portugal v Colombia plays out
The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.
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