Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Group A · Matchday 2

South AfricavsCzech Republic

·12:00 local

Snapshot · 2026-05-28South Africa スカッド →Czech Republic スカッド →ライブトラッカー →対戦成績 →

対戦成績の履歴

Date	Competition	Venue	Score	Result	xG
13 Dec 1997	Confederations Cup	NRiyadh	2–2	D	—

South Africa vs Czech Republic, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from South Africa's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral).

Latest news & match context

Team news

Czech Republic or Czechia? The name used at the 2026 World Cup explained · Diario AS · 11 Jun
World Cup predictions: Mexico vs South Africa, South Korea vs Czech Republic on matchday 1 · The New York Times · 11 Jun

Match conditions

Stage:: Group A · Matchday 2

One side is at full strength, while the other faces a few late fitness concerns ahead of kick-off; unlock the full breakdown with a Pass.

Match-outcome probability

South Africa win
21.2%
Draw
27.2%
Czech Republic win
51.7%

Rank checkFIFA ranks South Africa #61 in the world; the model ranks them #37 in this tournament field, 24 places higher than the FIFA list suggests. All 48 compared →

CalibrationBacktested to a 0.572 Brier score across 987 out-of-sample major-tournament matches (2014–2024): lower is better, and a no-skill 1-in-3 guess scores 0.667. In plain terms, outcomes the model rated 70% likely happened about 70% of the time. Live scoring begins 2026-06-11. See the scoreboard →

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That's the headline. The full forecast goes deeper.

The same Dixon-Coles fit behind the probabilities above also produces the breakdowns below — for this match and all 104.

Scoreline distribution

Half-time / full-time

Four models compared

Most likely scorers

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See exactly how South Africa v Czech Republic plays out

The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.

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