Prévision vs résultat · Round of 32 · Match 4

Brazil vs Japan

2026-06-29

Le récapitulatif sera publié au coup de sifflet final. Quand ce match sera terminé, cette page montrera comment la prévision pré-match figée ci-dessous s'est comparée au résultat réel : Brier score, log loss et xG final vs xG prédit. En attendant, suivez le match en direct sur le suivi en direct.

Pre-match forecast

Brazil win
62.4%
Draw
25.0%
Japan win
12.6%
Brazil
1.58
expected
goals
Japan
0.67

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

Brazil
8
Casemiro56'–60'

Scored Brazil's vital equalizing goal with a header, showcasing his aerial threat and leadership.

2goals

Match timeline

56'Casemiro scored Brazil's equalizing goal.
60'Casemiro (Brazil #8) scores for Brazil.
8
Martinelli81'–81'

Scored the decisive winning goal for Brazil with a clinical finish from inside the penalty area.

1goals

Match timeline

81'Martinelli (Brazil #22) scores for Brazil.
7
Vinicius Jr.

Displayed excellent dribbling skills, beating a defender and having a powerful shot denied by the goalkeeper and the post.

6
Cunha10'–10'

Had an early shot on target but did not contribute further to the scoreline.

1shots1on target

Match timeline

10'Cunha's shot
6
Rayan80'–80'

Had a shot on goal that was deflected, showing some attacking intent in his limited time on the pitch.

1shots

Match timeline

80'Rayan (Brazil) has a shot deflected over the bar.
Japan
8
Suzuki10'–73'

Made several crucial saves throughout the match, preventing Brazil from scoring more goals and keeping Japan competitive.

3saves

Match timeline

10'Suzuki (Japan GK) makes a save from Cunha's shot.
40'Suzuki (Japan GK) makes an excellent save from Guimaraes' header.
73'Suzuki (Japan GK) saves Vinicius Jr.'s shot onto the post.
8
Sano23'–23'

Scored Japan's only goal with a composed finish after a strong attacking run, giving his team a surprising lead.

1goals

Match timeline

23'Sano (Japan #10) scores for Japan.
4
Tomiyasu

Was directly beaten by Vinicius Jr. in a dangerous attacking sequence, highlighting a defensive vulnerability.

Match timeline

Match observations

  • The match between Brazil and Japan concluded with a 2-1 victory for Brazil.
  • The atmosphere in the Japanese fan zone was one of tension and disappointment, reflecting their team's loss.
  • In contrast, Brazilian supporters were seen in a state of euphoria, celebrating their team's triumph.

Comment lire ces résultats. Le Brier score et le log loss d'un seul match sont bruités : ce qui compte, c'est la calibration de la prévision sur de nombreux matchs. Ce récapitulatif par match est une ligne du tableau de calibration global à /docs/calibration/. La probabilité pré-match affichée ici est celle figée avant le coup d'envoi ; elle n'a jamais été recalculée en cours de match.