Prévision vs résultat · Group C · Matchday 1
Brazil vs Morocco
2026-06-13
Post-match calibration
Pre-match probability vs realised outcome
- Brazil win50.1%
- Draw· realised30.2%
- Morocco win19.7%
Brier and log-loss on a single fixture are noisy; the calibration plot in the post-tournament research note aggregates these across every match.
Key moments
I. Saibari (Morocco)
B. Diaz
Vinicius Junior (Brazil)
Bruno Guimaraes
Match statistics
Scoreline prediction
The actual scoreline (1–1) was the model's #3 most likely outcome at 12.6%.
Team performance
The team appears to be struggling to convert attacking movements into decisive outcomes, despite a solid defensive foundation.
The team showed strong defensive capabilities but struggled to create meaningful attacking threats in this match.
Video analysis: player performance
Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.
8Ederson Moraes77'–77'Made a vital save in the second half, ensuring his team maintained a clean sheet.
1saves▼
Made a vital save in the second half, ensuring his team maintained a clean sheet.
Match timeline
7Raphinha68'–68'Created an attacking opportunity with a shot on target that was saved by the opposing goalkeeper.
1shots1on target▼
Created an attacking opportunity with a shot on target that was saved by the opposing goalkeeper.
Match timeline
6Neymar JrWas involved in several attacking movements but ultimately failed to convert any chances.
Was involved in several attacking movements but ultimately failed to convert any chances.
8Yassine Bounou68'–68'Made a crucial save in the second half, contributing significantly to his team's clean sheet.
1saves▼
Made a crucial save in the second half, contributing significantly to his team's clean sheet.
Match timeline
6Amine Adli62'–62'Came on as a substitute but had no notable impact on the match.
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Came on as a substitute but had no notable impact on the match.
Match timeline
6Abde Ezzalzouli62'–62'Played for a significant portion of the match without any specific notable contributions.
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Played for a significant portion of the match without any specific notable contributions.
Match timeline
6Ilias Akhomach68'–68'Came on as a substitute but had no notable impact on the match.
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Came on as a substitute but had no notable impact on the match.
Match timeline
6Hakim Ziyech68'–68'Played for a significant portion of the match without any specific notable contributions.
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Played for a significant portion of the match without any specific notable contributions.
Match timeline
6Eliesse Ben Seghir72'–72'Came on as a substitute but had no notable impact on the match.
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Came on as a substitute but had no notable impact on the match.
Match timeline
6Youssef En Nesyri72'–72'Played for a significant portion of the match without any specific notable contributions.
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Played for a significant portion of the match without any specific notable contributions.
Match timeline
6Brahim DiazCame on as a substitute but had no notable impact on the match.
Came on as a substitute but had no notable impact on the match.
6Ismael Saibari77'–77'Played for a significant portion of the match without any specific notable contributions.
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Played for a significant portion of the match without any specific notable contributions.
Match timeline
Match observations
- The match was a tightly contested affair with both teams demonstrating solid defensive organisation.
- Neither side managed to break the deadlock, resulting in a goalless draw.
- Attacking opportunities were limited, with both goalkeepers making key saves to maintain their clean sheets.