Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Spain vs Uruguay

Copa Mundial de la FIFA 2026·Grupo H·Enfrentamiento directo

Snapshot · 2026-05-28Model 1.0.0

Model forecast

Standard Pass for probabilities

The model publishes calibrated win, draw and win probabilities for this group-stage meeting. Full forecast — expected goals, scoreline distribution, and per-player scoring →

Historial de enfrentamientos

Encuentros
10
Spain V-E-D
5-5-0
Último encuentro
2013 : Victoria (21)
Goles históricos
168
Mayor victoria de Spain
31 (2013)

Registro histórico desde la perspectiva de Spain. Incluye todos los encuentros entre selecciones absolutas (amistosos y torneos oficiales) del conjunto de datos martj42; los resultados en tanda de penaltis resuelven los empates en eliminatorias.

Every meeting

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
16 Jun 2013Confederations CupNRecife21W
6 Feb 2013FriendlyNDoha31W
17 Aug 2005FriendlyHGijón20W
18 Jan 1995FriendlyHA Coruña22D
4 Sep 1991FriendlyHOviedo21W
13 Jun 1990FIFA World CupNUdine00D
24 May 1978FriendlyAMontevideo00D
23 May 1972FriendlyHMadrid20W
23 Jun 1966FriendlyHA Coruña11D
9 Jul 1950FIFA World CupNSão Paulo22D

Spain vs Uruguay, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from Spain's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral).

Recent form

SpainWDDWD
  • 2026-06-08 · Peru31
  • 2026-06-04 · Iraq11
  • 2026-03-31 · Egypt00
  • 2026-03-27 · Serbia30
  • 2025-11-18 · Turkey22
UruguayDDLDW
  • 2026-03-31 · Algeria00
  • 2026-03-27 · England11
  • 2025-11-18 · United States15
  • 2025-11-15 · Mexico00
  • 2025-10-13 · Uzbekistan21

Five most recent senior internationals (any opponent), newest first, from the martj42 dataset.

Team style comparison

SpainUruguay
#5 of 54Average match rating#2 of 10
#3 of 53Goals scored / match#4 of 10
#8 of 54Expected goals#3 of 10
#3 of 54Big chances#6 of 10
#1 of 54Shots on target#8 of 10
#4 of 54Possession#4 of 10
#1 of 54Passing#6 of 10
#2 of 54Goals conceded / match#4 of 10

Each bar is the team’s rank within its own competition — Spain: World Cup Qualification UEFA 2025/2026; Uruguay: World Cup Qualification CONMEBOL 2023/2025. A longer bar is a stronger standing; because the two competitions differ, only relative standing is comparable, not raw numbers. Style data via FotMob.

Preguntas frecuentes

What is the head-to-head record between Spain and Uruguay?
Spain and Uruguay have met 10 times. From Spain's perspective the all-time record is 5 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses. Their most recent meeting was a 2013 win (2–1) at the Confederations Cup.
What does the model predict for Spain vs Uruguay?
OnThePitch's model makes Spain the favourite in this matchup. The exact win, draw and win probabilities, expected goals and scorelines are part of the Standard Pass on the match page.
When do Spain and Uruguay play at the 2026 World Cup?
They meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group H. Venue and kick-off details appear on the match page once confirmed.

Otros partidos del Grupo H

Cómo se calcula. Las probabilidades de victoria/empate/victoria provienen de un ensamble calibrado Dixon-Coles. Ver metodología.