Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Spain vs Uruguay

2026 FIFA 世界杯·H 组·历史交锋

Snapshot · 2026-05-28Model 1.0.0

Model forecast

57.4%
Draw
26.5%
16.1%

The model's win, draw and win probabilities for this group-stage meeting. Full forecast — expected goals, scoreline distribution, and per-player scoring →

历史交锋总览

交锋场次
10
Spain 胜-平-负
5-5-0
最近一次交锋
2013 : (21)
历史总进球
168
Spain 最大胜利
31 (2013)

数据以 Spain 视角呈现的历史战绩。统计 martj42 数据集中所有成年国际队交锋(友谊赛和正式赛事); 点球大战结果用于决定淘汰赛平局。

Every meeting

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
16 Jun 2013Confederations CupNRecife21W
6 Feb 2013FriendlyNDoha31W
17 Aug 2005FriendlyHGijón20W
18 Jan 1995FriendlyHA Coruña22D
4 Sep 1991FriendlyHOviedo21W
13 Jun 1990FIFA World CupNUdine00D
24 May 1978FriendlyAMontevideo00D
23 May 1972FriendlyHMadrid20W
23 Jun 1966FriendlyHA Coruña11D
9 Jul 1950FIFA World CupNSão Paulo22D

Spain vs Uruguay, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from Spain's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral).

Recent form

SpainWDDWD
  • 2026-06-08 · Peru31
  • 2026-06-04 · Iraq11
  • 2026-03-31 · Egypt00
  • 2026-03-27 · Serbia30
  • 2025-11-18 · Turkey22
UruguayDDLDW
  • 2026-03-31 · Algeria00
  • 2026-03-27 · England11
  • 2025-11-18 · United States15
  • 2025-11-15 · Mexico00
  • 2025-10-13 · Uzbekistan21

Five most recent senior internationals (any opponent), newest first, from the martj42 dataset.

Team style comparison

SpainUruguay
#5 of 54Average match rating#2 of 10
#3 of 53Goals scored / match#4 of 10
#8 of 54Expected goals#3 of 10
#3 of 54Big chances#6 of 10
#1 of 54Shots on target#8 of 10
#4 of 54Possession#4 of 10
#1 of 54Passing#6 of 10
#2 of 54Goals conceded / match#4 of 10

Each bar is the team’s rank within its own competition — Spain: World Cup Qualification UEFA 2025/2026; Uruguay: World Cup Qualification CONMEBOL 2023/2025. A longer bar is a stronger standing; because the two competitions differ, only relative standing is comparable, not raw numbers. Style data via FotMob.

常见问题

What is the head-to-head record between Spain and Uruguay?
Spain and Uruguay have met 10 times. From Spain's perspective the all-time record is 5 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses. Their most recent meeting was a 2013 win (2–1) at the Confederations Cup.
What does the model predict for Spain vs Uruguay?
OnThePitch's model rates Spain at 57% to win, with a 26% chance of a draw and 16% for Uruguay.
When do Spain and Uruguay play at the 2026 World Cup?
They meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group H. Venue and kick-off details appear on the match page once confirmed.

H 组其他对阵

计算方法。 胜/平/胜概率来自经过校准的 Dixon-Coles 集成模型。详见 方法论.