Pronóstico frente a resultado · Round of 32 · Match 11

Portugal vs Croatia

2026-07-02

El resumen se publica al pitido final. Cuando este partido termine, esta página mostrará cómo el pronóstico previo congelado se comportó frente al resultado real: Brier score, log loss y xG final frente a xG predicho. Hasta entonces, síguelo en vivo en el seguimiento en vivo.

Pre-match forecast

Portugal win
57.6%
Draw
24.7%
Croatia win
17.7%
Portugal
1.53
expected
goals
Croatia
0.86

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

Portugal
9
Ronaldo38'–54'

Converted a crucial penalty to equalize for Portugal and was a constant offensive threat, demonstrating leadership.

2goals

Match timeline

38'Ronaldo scores for Portugal, but the goal is disallowed for offside.
54'Ronaldo converts the penalty for Portugal.
Croatia
8
Perisic

Opened the scoring for Croatia with a well-placed shot, demonstrating clinical finishing.

7
Vlašić28'–28'

Showed good attacking instincts by scoring, though it was disallowed for offside.

1goals

Match timeline

28'Vlašić scores for Croatia, but the goal is disallowed for offside.
7
Sučić119'–119'

Displayed good attacking awareness and finishing by scoring, even if the goal was negated by an offside call.

1goals

Match timeline

119'Sučić scores for Croatia, but the goal is disallowed for offside.
6
Modrić

Mentioned for sportsmanship at the end of the match, but no specific in-game contributions were highlighted.

Match timeline

Match observations

  • The match was a high-scoring affair, with both teams demonstrating significant attacking intent.
  • Multiple goals were disallowed for offside, adding to the drama and frustration for both sides.
  • The game featured several momentum swings, with each team having periods of dominance.

Cómo leer esto. El Brier y el log-loss de un solo partido son ruidosos; lo que importa es cómo calibra el pronóstico a lo largo de muchos partidos. Este resumen por partido es una fila del marcador de calibración agregado en /docs/calibration/. La probabilidad previa al partido que se muestra aquí es la que se congeló antes del saque inicial; nunca se actualizó durante el juego.