Previsione vs risultato · Round of 32 · Match 11

Portugal vs Croatia

2026-07-02

Il riepilogo viene pubblicato al fischio finale. Al termine di questa partita, questa pagina mostrerà come la previsione pre-partita congelata qui sotto si è confrontata con l'esito reale: Brier score, log loss e xG finale vs xG previsto. Fino ad allora, seguila in diretta sul live tracker.

Pre-match forecast

Portugal win
57.6%
Draw
24.7%
Croatia win
17.7%
Portugal
1.53
expected
goals
Croatia
0.86

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

Portugal
9
Ronaldo38'–54'

Converted a crucial penalty to equalize for Portugal and was a constant offensive threat, demonstrating leadership.

2goals

Match timeline

38'Ronaldo scores for Portugal, but the goal is disallowed for offside.
54'Ronaldo converts the penalty for Portugal.
Croatia
8
Perisic

Opened the scoring for Croatia with a well-placed shot, demonstrating clinical finishing.

7
Vlašić28'–28'

Showed good attacking instincts by scoring, though it was disallowed for offside.

1goals

Match timeline

28'Vlašić scores for Croatia, but the goal is disallowed for offside.
7
Sučić119'–119'

Displayed good attacking awareness and finishing by scoring, even if the goal was negated by an offside call.

1goals

Match timeline

119'Sučić scores for Croatia, but the goal is disallowed for offside.
6
Modrić

Mentioned for sportsmanship at the end of the match, but no specific in-game contributions were highlighted.

Match timeline

Match observations

  • The match was a high-scoring affair, with both teams demonstrating significant attacking intent.
  • Multiple goals were disallowed for offside, adding to the drama and frustration for both sides.
  • The game featured several momentum swings, with each team having periods of dominance.

Come leggere questi dati. Il Brier e il log-loss di una singola partita sono rumorosi: ciò che conta è come la previsione si calibra su molte partite. Questo riepilogo per partita è una riga del tabellone di calibrazione aggregato su /docs/calibration/. La probabilità pre-partita mostrata qui è quella congelata prima del calcio d'inizio; non è mai stata ricalcolata durante il gioco.