Öffentlich gemessen

19 Jun 2026

Jede Wahrscheinlichkeit unten wurde vor dem Anpfiff veröffentlicht und festgelegt. Diese Seite bewertet jede einzelne anhand dessen, was tatsächlich passiert ist.

4 von 4 Spielen bewertet
1
Voll getroffen
Hohe Sicherheit, richtiges Ergebnis
1
Starke Einschätzung
Gab dem Eintretenden die höchste Wahrscheinlichkeit
2
Erwartet
Das Ergebnis lag im erwarteten Bereich
0
Überraschung
Das Modell hat dies nicht kommen sehen

Tagesdurchschnitt: Within expectations

  • BrazilvsHaiti
    BewertetFestgelegt am 10 Jun
    3 – 0
    • Brazil · eingetreten90.8%
    • Unentschieden8.4%
    • Haiti0.8%
    Urteil
    Nailed it

    Brazil 3–0 Haiti was the outcome the model rated most likely (90.8% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.015, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Schlägt die MärkteGab dem Ergebnis mehr Wahrscheinlichkeit

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Brazil
    8Matheus CunhaSTScored the crucial opening goal with excellent anticipation and predatory instincts.
    Haiti
    9Haiti GoalkeeperGKMade numerous crucial saves, including a double save, to prevent a much larger defeat for Haiti.
    6Dominique SimonCBMade a crucial defensive clearance to prevent a goal for Haiti under significant pressure.
  • MoroccovsScotland
    BewertetFestgelegt am 10 Jun
    1 – 0
    • Morocco · eingetreten48.7%
    • Unentschieden28.3%
    • Scotland23.0%
    Urteil
    Strong read

    Morocco 1–0 Scotland was the outcome the model rated most likely (48.7% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.396, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Die Märkte gaben dem Ergebnis mehr Wahrscheinlichkeit

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Morocco
    8Ismael SaibariAMScored the winning goal and was a constant attacking threat, nearly adding a second.
    7Bilal El KhannoussCMContributed to Morocco's attacking set pieces with a header on target that required a save.
    7Brahim DíazAMDisplayed good movement and skill to create a shot opportunity inside the penalty area.
    Scotland
    8Angus GunnGKMade several crucial saves throughout the match, preventing Morocco from extending their lead and keeping Scotland in contention.
    7Ryan ChristieAMCreated one of Scotland's clearer scoring opportunities with a shot on target that was saved.
    7AmmouniSTWas a persistent threat in Morocco's attack, registering multiple shots on target that tested the opposition goalkeeper.
  • United StatesvsAustralia
    BewertetFestgelegt am 10 Jun
    2 – 0
    • United States · eingetreten31.0%
    • Unentschieden28.2%
    • Australia40.8%
    Urteil
    Within expectations

    United States 2–0 Australia was an outcome the model rated at 31.0% (31.0% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.722, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Die Märkte gaben dem Ergebnis mehr Wahrscheinlichkeit

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    United States
    9Matt TurnerGKMade multiple crucial saves, especially in the second half, to secure the clean sheet and the team's victory.
    8DestAMScored a crucial goal that doubled the USA's lead and contributed to offensive pressure.
    7BalogunSTCreated a good scoring opportunity through a strong run and shot, demonstrating his direct attacking style.
    Australia
    7LeckieRWProvided a quality cross that contributed to Australia's attacking build-up from a wide position.
    6LuqueCMShowed offensive ambition by attempting a shot, but it was blocked and didn't lead to a significant chance.
    6MetcalfeCMContributed to Australia's attacking build-up by delivering a cross into the box.
  • ParaguayvsTurkey
    BewertetFestgelegt am 10 Jun
    1 – 0
    • Paraguay · eingetreten31.3%
    • Unentschieden27.8%
    • Turkey40.9%
    Urteil
    Within expectations

    Paraguay 1–0 Turkey was an outcome the model rated at 31.3% (31.3% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.717, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Schlägt die MärkteGab dem Ergebnis mehr Wahrscheinlichkeit

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Paraguay
    9Paraguay's GoalkeeperGKDelivered an exceptional performance with multiple crucial saves, single-handedly preserving the clean sheet and the team's lead, especially after playing with ten men.
    8Player #23STScored the decisive early goal with clinical finishing, which proved to be the match-winner.
    2AldareteCBReceived an early red card for a dangerous challenge, severely disadvantaging his team for the majority of the match.
    Turkey
    6Arda GülerAMShowed creative intent and good positioning in attack, but his efforts were consistently blocked without leading to a goal.
    6KökçüCMDemonstrated his ability from dead-ball situations by forcing a save from a dangerous free-kick.
    6YılmazSTActively involved in multiple attacking movements, creating chances for himself and others, but lacked the clinical finish or precise pass to convert.

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Model report card — 19 Jun 2026 · onthepitch