Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

United States vs Paraguay

2026 FIFA 世界杯·D 组·历史交锋

Snapshot · 2026-05-28Model 1.0.0

Model forecast

Draw
29.4%

The model's win, draw and win probabilities for this group-stage meeting. Full forecast — expected goals, scoreline distribution, and per-player scoring →

历史交锋总览

交锋场次
9
United States 胜-平-负
5-2-2
最近一次交锋
2025 : (21)
历史总进球
127
United States 最大胜利
30 (1930)

数据以 United States 视角呈现的历史战绩。统计 martj42 数据集中所有成年国际队交锋(友谊赛和正式赛事); 点球大战结果用于决定淘汰赛平局。

Every meeting

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
15 Nov 2025FriendlyHChester21W
27 Mar 2018FriendlyHCary10W
11 Jun 2016Copa AméricaHPhiladelphia10W
29 Mar 2011FriendlyHNashville01L
2 Jul 2007Copa AméricaNBarinas13L
6 Jul 2003FriendlyHColumbus20W
14 Mar 1998FriendlyHSan Diego22D
4 Jun 1997FriendlyHSt. Louis00D
17 Jul 1930FIFA World CupNMontevideo30W

United States vs Paraguay, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from United States's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral).

Recent form

United StatesLWLLW
  • 2026-06-06 · Germany12
  • 2026-05-31 · Senegal32
  • 2026-03-31 · Portugal02
  • 2026-03-28 · Belgium25
  • 2025-11-18 · Uruguay51
ParaguayWLWWL
  • 2026-06-05 · Nicaragua40
  • 2026-03-31 · Morocco12
  • 2026-03-27 · Greece10
  • 2025-11-18 · Mexico21
  • 2025-11-15 · United States12

Five most recent senior internationals (any opponent), newest first, from the martj42 dataset.

Team style comparison

United StatesParaguay
#10 of 16Average match rating#6 of 10
#8 of 14Goals scored / match#7 of 10
#9 of 16Expected goals#10 of 10
#11 of 16Big chances#7 of 10
#5 of 16Shots on target#7 of 10
#12 of 16Possession#10 of 10
#13 of 16Passing#10 of 10
#8 of 16Goals conceded / match#2 of 10

Each bar is the team’s rank within its own competition — United States: Copa America 2024; Paraguay: World Cup Qualification CONMEBOL 2023/2025. A longer bar is a stronger standing; because the two competitions differ, only relative standing is comparable, not raw numbers. Style data via FotMob.

常见问题

What is the head-to-head record between United States and Paraguay?
United States and Paraguay have met 9 times. From United States's perspective the all-time record is 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. Their most recent meeting was a 2025 win (2–1) at the Friendly.
What does the model predict for United States vs Paraguay?
OnThePitch's model rates United States at 32% to win, with a 29% chance of a draw and 38% for Paraguay.
When do United States and Paraguay play at the 2026 World Cup?
They meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group D. Venue and kick-off details appear on the match page once confirmed.

D 组其他对阵

计算方法。 胜/平/胜概率来自经过校准的 Dixon-Coles 集成模型。详见 方法论.