Group C · Matchday 3

← 赛前预测
Scheduled
Morocco
:
Haiti

Live score, descriptive in-match stats, and a post-match calibration recap appear here once the match kicks off.

Match-outcome probability

Standard Pass for probabilities

Latest news & match context

Match conditions
Stage:
Group C · Matchday 3

Both sides face key availability concerns ahead of this match; unlock the full breakdown with a Pass.

赛后校准回顾免费开放。 比赛结束后, 预测与结果对照回顾将发布: 赛前概率与实际结果、Brier score、log loss, 以及最终 xG 与预测值对比, 发布于 回顾页面, 对所有人开放。

Standard Pass

The model's full forecast for this match

Match-outcome probabilities, the most likely scorelines, scorer probabilities, and the in-match paths, all from one Dixon-Coles fit. The Standard Pass unlocks them for this match and all 104.

Scoreline distribution

Half-time / full-time

Four models compared

Most likely scorers

Standard Pass

See exactly how Morocco v Haiti plays out

The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.

Get the Pass — $15

24h self-service refund·No subscription, no auto-renewal·Access through 31 Dec 2026. See refund policy.

实时概率如何运作。 已发布的赛前预测在首发名单锁定(T-1h)时冻结,开球后不再变化;赛后回顾会用结果检验这个被冻结的数字。比赛中显示的实时获胜概率,是同一个模型按当前比分和剩余时间重新读取的结果。它大约每分钟刷新一次,始终有延迟,是描述性的研究数字,不是博弈类产品,也不是任何形式的价格。完整框架见 /docs/methodology/