Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Group L · Matchday 3

EnglandvsPanama

·17:00 local

Snapshot · 2026-05-28England kadrosu →Panama kadrosu →Canlı takip →Karşılıklı istatistikler →

Karşılıklı geçmiş

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
24 Jun 2018FIFA World CupNNizhny Novgorod6–1W3.2–1.1

England vs Panama, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from England's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral; xG where the upstream dataset covers the match).

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Team news
Match conditions
Stage:
Group L · Matchday 3

Both sides contend with a handful of player doubts ahead of this fixture. Unlock the full breakdown with a Pass.

Match-outcome probability

  • England win
    75.1%
  • Draw
    18.2%
  • Panama win
    6.6%
CalibrationBacktested to a 0.572 Brier score across 987 out-of-sample major-tournament matches (2014–2024): lower is better, and a no-skill 1-in-3 guess scores 0.667. In plain terms, outcomes the model rated 70% likely happened about 70% of the time. Live scoring begins 2026-06-11. See the scoreboard →

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That's the headline. The full forecast goes deeper.

The same Dixon-Coles fit behind the probabilities above also produces the breakdowns below — for this match and all 104.

Scoreline distribution

Half-time / full-time

Four models compared

Most likely scorers

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See exactly how England v Panama plays out

The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.

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Bu nasıl hesaplanır. Tüm gol süreci çıktıları tek bir Dixon-Coles uyumundan gelir. Bkz. yöntem.

Anlık görüntü: 2026-05-28