Previsão vs resultado · Round of 32 · Match 14

Argentina vs Cape Verde

2026-07-03

A retrospectiva é publicada ao apito final. Quando este jogo terminar, esta página mostrará como a previsão pré-jogo congelada abaixo se saiu contra o resultado realizado — Brier score, log loss e xG final vs xG previsto. Até lá, acompanhe ao vivo no acompanhamento ao vivo.

Pre-match forecast

Argentina win
81.0%
Draw
17.5%
Cape Verde win
1.5%
Argentina
2.16
expected
goals
Cape Verde
0.32

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

Argentina
8
Lisandro Martínez

Scored two vital goals, including one in extra time, to put Argentina ahead, overcoming an earlier defensive miscue.

8
Cristian Romero

Scored the decisive winning goal in extra time with a powerful header from a corner, showcasing his aerial threat.

7
Emiliano Martínez

Made several critical saves, particularly in extra time, to preserve Argentina's lead, despite conceding two goals.

7
Nahuel Molina18'–18'

Provided the assist for Messi's opening goal and contributed with attacking runs from his defensive position.

Match timeline

18'Molina's cross almost reaches Messi in front of goal
6
Lautaro Martínez

Had a couple of attempts on goal, one of which was well-saved, but ultimately failed to convert his chances.

6
Leandro Paredes

Came on as a substitute and immediately contributed with two shots on target, though neither found the net.

6
Alexis Mac Allister

Registered a shot on target that was saved but otherwise had a limited impact during his time on the field.

5
Gonzalo Montiel

Received a yellow card for a foul in extra time, with no other significant contributions noted.

Cape Verde
9
Vozinha14'–17'

Delivered an exceptional goalkeeping performance, making numerous world-class saves to keep Cape Verde competitive against a relentless Argentine attack.

2saves

Match timeline

14'Messi's shot from a tight angle is saved by the goalkeeper
17'Messi's free-kick is comfortably gathered by Vozinha
8
Sidny Lopes Cabral

Scored a spectacular and crucial overhead kick to equalize for Cape Verde in extra time, also contributing defensively with a block.

7
Deroy Duarte

Scored a vital equalizing goal for Cape Verde, demonstrating good finishing, but also committed a late foul on Messi.

4
Pico Lopes

Had a difficult spell, almost scoring an own goal and being involved in a VAR review for a potential handball.

Match observations

  • The match was a thrilling, high-scoring affair that extended into extra time.
  • Argentina initially took the lead through Messi, but Cabo Verde showed remarkable resilience, equalising twice.
  • Both teams displayed strong attacking intent, with numerous shots on target and dramatic saves from both goalkeepers.

Como ler isto. O Brier e o log-loss de um jogo isolado são ruidosos — o que importa é como a previsão se calibra ao longo de muitos jogos. Esta retrospectiva por jogo é uma linha do placar de calibração agregado em /docs/calibration/. A probabilidade pré-jogo mostrada aqui é a que foi congelada antes do início; ela nunca foi atualizada durante o jogo.