Previsão vs resultado · Group I · Matchday 3

France vs Norway

2026-06-26

A retrospectiva é publicada ao apito final. Quando este jogo terminar, esta página mostrará como a previsão pré-jogo congelada abaixo se saiu contra o resultado realizado — Brier score, log loss e xG final vs xG previsto. Até lá, acompanhe ao vivo no acompanhamento ao vivo.

Pre-match forecast

France win
62.2%
Draw
23.3%
Norway win
14.5%
France
1.74
expected
goals
Norway
0.89

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

France
9
Kylian Mbappé4'–85'

Scored two goals and was a relentless attacking force, despite having other attempts denied by the woodwork or offside.

3goals4shots
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Match timeline

4'Kylian Mbappé scores after receiving a through ball, but the goal is disallowed for offside.
5'Mbappé shot hits the crossbar
19'Swedish goalkeeper saves a shot from Adrien Rabiot after Kylian Mbappé's initial attempt was blocked.
26'Jules Kounde's shot hits the post, followed by Kylian Mbappé's attempt also hitting the post.
40'Mbappé's shot goes over the bar
49'Kylian Mbappé scores with a left-footed shot from inside the box. France 1-0 Sweden.
55'Kylian Mbappé celebrates his goal with the coach.
70'Kylian Mbappé scores his second goal of the match after a one-two with Michael Olise. France 3-0 Sweden.
75'Kylian Mbappé celebrates his goal with a jump.
85'Kylian Mbappé is substituted off the pitch.
9
Michael Olise33'–80'

Provided an assist and was a constant creative threat with his dribbling and passing, directly contributing to two goals and creating numerous chances.

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Match timeline

33'Swedish goalkeeper saves Michael Olise's bicycle kick, then saves Ousmane Dembélé's follow-up shot.
41'Swedish goalkeeper saves Michael Olise's shot after a skillful dribble.
59'Bradley Barcola scores with a powerful shot after a pass from Michael Olise. France 2-0 Sweden.
64'Swedish goalkeeper saves Michael Olise's shot from outside the box.
70'Kylian Mbappé scores his second goal of the match after a one-two with Michael Olise. France 3-0 Sweden.
80'Swedish goalkeeper saves Michael Olise's shot after he dribbled past several defenders.
8
Mike Maignan15'–42'

Made a vital penalty save and another key stop, maintaining France's advantage and preventing Norway from gaining momentum.

3saves
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Match timeline

15'Strøm Larsen's shot saved by France goalkeeper
36'Maignan saves Norway's penalty
42'Oscar Bobb's shot saved by Maignan
7
Désiré Doué45'–45'

Scored France's fourth goal, contributing to the team's dominant attacking display.

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Match timeline

45'Doué scores for France
6
Jules Koundé26'–26'

Contributed to an attack with a shot that hit the post, showing offensive intent from his position.

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Match timeline

26'Jules Kounde's shot hits the post, followed by Kylian Mbappé's attempt also hitting the post.
Norway
8
Erling Haaland129'–129'

Scored Norway's winning goal with a composed finish, securing the victory for his team.

1goals
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Match timeline

129'Norway re-establishes their advantage. A precise pass finds Haaland in the box, who calmly finishes past the onrushing goalkeeper.
7
Thelo Aasgaard25'–25'

Scored Norway's only goal, providing a brief moment of hope and demonstrating clinical finishing.

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Match timeline

25'Aasgaard scores for Norway
7
Oscar Bobb35'–42'

Earned a penalty for Norway and had a shot on target, demonstrating his attacking intent and ability to create danger.

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Match timeline

35'Penalty awarded to Norway after Oscar Bobb is brought down
42'Oscar Bobb's shot saved by Maignan
7
Torbjørn Heggem36'–36'

Made a crucial goal-line clearance, preventing a second goal and demonstrating strong defensive awareness.

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Match timeline

36'From a Norway corner, a header towards goal is cleared off the line by a defender, preventing a second goal.
7
Patrick Berg129'–129'

Provided a well-weighted assist for Haaland's winning goal, directly contributing to the decisive moment of the match.

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Match timeline

129'Norway re-establishes their advantage. A precise pass finds Haaland in the box, who calmly finishes past the onrushing goalkeeper.
6
Jørgen Strand Larsen15'–15'

Had a shot saved by the French goalkeeper, indicating an attempt to challenge the opposition.

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Match timeline

15'Strøm Larsen's shot saved by France goalkeeper
6
Antonio Nusa

Mentioned as scoring Norway's opening goal in observations, but this is contradicted by match events. No other specific actions highlighted.

5
Egil Selvik44'–44'

Made several crucial saves to prevent France from scoring more, despite ultimately conceding multiple goals.

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Match timeline

44'Barcola's shot saved by Selvik
4
Kristian Thorstvedt36'–36'

Missed a crucial penalty opportunity that could have brought Norway closer and changed the game's dynamic.

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Match timeline

36'Maignan saves Norway's penalty

Match observations

  • France displayed a highly effective attacking performance, particularly in the first half, with Ousmane Dembélé leading the charge.
  • Norway struggled to contain France's offensive movements but showed resilience by creating their own chances and scoring once.
  • The match was characterized by a high number of goal-scoring opportunities for both sides, with France converting theirs more efficiently.
← Previsão pré-jogoAo vivo →

Como ler isto. O Brier e o log-loss de um jogo isolado são ruidosos — o que importa é como a previsão se calibra ao longo de muitos jogos. Esta retrospectiva por jogo é uma linha do placar de calibração agregado em /docs/calibration/. A probabilidade pré-jogo mostrada aqui é a que foi congelada antes do início; ela nunca foi atualizada durante o jogo.