Previsão vs resultado · Group L · Matchday 2

England vs Ghana

2026-06-23

A retrospectiva é publicada ao apito final. Quando este jogo terminar, esta página mostrará como a previsão pré-jogo congelada abaixo se saiu contra o resultado realizado — Brier score, log loss e xG final vs xG previsto. Até lá, acompanhe ao vivo no acompanhamento ao vivo.

Pre-match forecast

England win
77.1%
Draw
20.2%
Ghana win
2.7%
England
1.93
expected
goals
Ghana
0.42

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

England
9
Harry Kane12'–47'

Kane was England's primary goal threat, scoring two crucial goals including a penalty and a header, demonstrating clinical finishing and leadership.

2goals1shots1on target

Match timeline

12'Harry Kane's initial penalty attempt is saved by the goalkeeper.
20'Harry Kane scores from the retaken penalty, putting England ahead.
47'Harry Kane scores with a header from a corner, restoring England's lead.
8
Jude Bellingham109'–109'

Bellingham scored a crucial goal late in the game, demonstrating his attacking presence and ability to make incisive runs into dangerous areas.

1goals

Match timeline

109'Jude Bellingham scores from close range, putting England ahead again.
8
Marcus Rashford142'–142'

Rashford scored England's fourth goal with a decisive individual effort after a skillful run, sealing the victory for his team.

1goals

Match timeline

142'Marcus Rashford scores after a skillful run, extending England's lead.
7
Declan Rice

Rice contributed significantly to England's offensive set pieces with accurate corners and demonstrated his powerful shooting ability.

1shots1on target

Match timeline

Ghana
8
Baturina35'–35'

Baturina scored a crucial equalizer for Croatia with a powerful and accurate shot, demonstrating his offensive capabilities.

1goals

Match timeline

35'Baturina scores for Croatia with a powerful shot, levelling the score.
8
Musa59'–59'

Musa scored Croatia's second equalizer by reacting quickly to a rebound, showcasing his anticipation and clinical finishing in the box.

1goals

Match timeline

59'Musa scores for Croatia from a rebound, equalising once more.
8
Livakovic12'–118'

Livakovic made several crucial saves, including a penalty stop and a remarkable double save, which kept Croatia in the match despite the final score.

2saves

Match timeline

12'Harry Kane's initial penalty attempt is saved by the goalkeeper.
118'Croatian goalkeeper makes a double save from an England corner.
7
Perisic

Perisic contributed to Croatia's second goal by having a shot on target that was saved, leading to a rebound for Musa to score.

1shots1on target

Match timeline

6
Modric

Modric appeared at the end of the match, reflecting his leadership role, but no specific on-field actions were highlighted in the provided notes.

Match timeline

Match observations

  • The match was a high-scoring affair with both teams demonstrating attacking intent.
  • England took the lead three times, but Croatia showed resilience to equalise twice.
  • Set pieces proved to be a significant factor, with goals originating from a penalty and a corner.

Como ler isto. O Brier e o log-loss de um jogo isolado são ruidosos — o que importa é como a previsão se calibra ao longo de muitos jogos. Esta retrospectiva por jogo é uma linha do placar de calibração agregado em /docs/calibration/. A probabilidade pré-jogo mostrada aqui é a que foi congelada antes do início; ela nunca foi atualizada durante o jogo.